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Monday, February 9, 2015

CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Channel Top Resistance - Week 2 of February 2015.













Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)




Patterns:
  • The Top of the Weekly Channel - which we had been waiting on from April 2014 (post) keeps the Bulls down #W1. 
  • 'Bullish Engulfing' on the Long Term Charts, becoming a Three Outside Up, still some distance away #M1.
Support & Resistance:
  • Bears get 5 in a row, as all days of last week, see the Index closing below the 5 EMA on the Day Chart #D1.
  • Bulls get support on the Monthly Pivot #M1 and the 5 EMA on the EOW #W1.
Moving Averages: 
  • The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the EOW, stay crossed Bullishly #D1.
Indicators:
  • STS stays in the over bought #W2.


Wrap:
Bulls find support at the Monthly Pivot after our long watched Weekly Channel Top resists the current up-move #M1. 
Bears prevent a Three outside Up possibility, by keeping the index below 8809  #W1.




Looking Forward into this Week:


Patterns:
  • Channel Top resistance of the Medium Term Channel, important for Bears #W1.
  • 'Bullish Engulfing' on the Long Term Charts, becoming a Three Outside Up (Study Links herehere or elsewhere) to be watched for #M1.
Support & Resistance:
  • Index resistances that the Bulls would want to get above this week, are the Wall for February 8952 and the 5 EMA on the EOD #D1.
  • Support Levels that the Bears would seek get below, are 8636 (5 EMA on the Weekly Charts) and 8480 (13 SMA on the Weekly Charts).
Moving Averages: 
  • Golden Cross (study herehere or elsewhere) of the 50 & 200 SMA is on - these MA's are currently converging #D1.
Indicators:
  • STS, staying above the overbought line, demonstrates the Bull domination of the Medium and Long Term Screens #W2.


Wrap :
Staying below the Daily 5 EMA, Bears seek to get stronger and get below the EOD channel's Mid-line #D1
Bulls look forward to a Three Outside Up triggering, with a February Close above 8809 #M1.