S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Bulls go up to a H&S :- Week: 09 September to 13 September: 2013.

S&P 500 - End of  Month Chart (EOM) - Channel analyzing Data from mid 2009, onward - as on 13 Sept'13

S&P 500 - End of  Week Chart (EOW) - Channel analyzing Data from Aug' 2011 onward - as on 13 Sept'13

S&P 500 - End of  Day Chart (EOD) -  Channel analyzing Data from July'2013, onward - as on 13 Sept'13

Learning from the Past Week:  (click here for the previous post)

Patterns:

• Bullish Harami on the Medium Term Chart, develops into a 'Three  Inside Up' as studied last week #W1.
• Last Two Weekly candles were 'Opening White Marubozus' and the current form of the Monthly Candle is a Bullish Marubozu.
• Last Week's candle lines up to form the right shoulder of a Bearish 'Head &Shoulder' Pattern #W1.

Support & Resistance:

• Index closes above the 13 SMA on the Week Channel #W1 which was resistance for Bulls last week.
• The Long Term 5 EMA remains support for the Bulls on the way down  #M1.
• Index butting into the Day Channel Top which is resistance #D1.

Moving Averages:  

• 5 EMA and 13 SMA stay crossed Bullishly on the EOD charts #D1.
• On the EOW - 5 EMA and 13 SMA touch and deflect Bullishly #W1. 
• Index keeps above the 5 EMA on the Long Term Charts #M1.

Indicators:

• RSI 13 surges above the 50 mark - RSI crosses above the MA #W2.
• Stochastic 34 3 4 heading for the over-bought zone  #D2.
• Oscillator remains below the over-bought, after the August Close #M2.

Wrap:

Bulls get the Short Term Screen too - Bears fight to keep the Day Channel from cracking #D1. 

Looking forward into the next Week:

Patterns:

• On the Medium Term Chart the 'Three  Inside Up' was studied using links from here, here or elsewhere.
• The Last two candles on the Weekly Charts are bullish 'Opening White Marubozus' and they are worth a study here, here or anywhere. 
• Bearish 'Head and Shoulder' Chart Pattern (study here, here or happy hunting) would worry the Bulls #W1.

Support & Resistance:

• 34 MVWAP on the Short Term Chart is the nearest Support for the Bulls, while the Channel Top #D1 is resistance.
• Beyond these the 76.4% Fibonacci Retrace #M1 - is the next major support and the Last All Time High is the resistance seen, #M1.

Moving Averages:

• Staying above the 5 EMA on the EOM #M1 - shows long term strength of the Bulls.
• Staying above the 13 SMA on the Week Charts #W1 important for Bulls.

Indicators:

• Oscillator #M2 keeping below oversold favors the Bears.
• RSI staying above its MA will work for the Bulls #W1

Wrap:

Bulls see the 'Marubozus' and the 'Three Inside Up' #W1, continuing the up-move - Bears would love a H&S #W1.

CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Checkmate :- Week: 09 September to 13 September: 2013.

Nifty 50 - End of Month (EOM) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from 2008 onward - as on 13 Sept'13

Nifty 50 - End of  Week (EOW) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Mid 2011 onward - as on 13 Sept'13

Nifty 50 - End of  Day  (EOD) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Apr' 2013, onward - as on 13 Sept'13

Learning from the Past Week: (click here for the previous post)

Patterns:

• The two Takuri Weeks we had seen here and here - give the Bulls another 'Green Weekly candle' #3.
• Volume for the up-move is uninspiring.

Support & Resistance:

• 200 SMA on the EOD was the support the Bulls kept tenaciously above, last week #5. 
• 5915, the 76.4% Fibonacci retrace of the 'Jan'12 low to All time high' #5 was the resistance the Bulls could not close above, all last week.
• Checkmate for most of last week - as the Index remained between above levels.

Moving Averages:

• EOD - 50 SMA and 200 SMA stay crossed bearishly in a Death Cross #5. 
• EOM - Index closes above the 13 SMA #1, but the 5 EMA and 13 SMA stay Bearishly Crossed - Bearish overhang remains.
• EOW - 5 EMA and 13 SMA poised to deflect bearishly or cross Bullishly #3. 

Indicators:

• Indicator #2 on the Month charts show Bulls above the mid-point @ mid-month.
• STS #4 clears resistance.
• MACD above the zero line - Histogram tick down #6.

Wrap:
After running into the Takuri Line twice, Bulls clear the 50 SMA & 200 SMA...

Looking Forward into the next Week:

Patterns:

• The Double Takuri Line's effect #3 studied earlier (here and here) near end.

Support & Resistance:

• The EOD Chart shows the Bulls breaking out of the Day Channel. Throw Back to the Channel Top in Progress #5.
• The 76.4% Fibonacci retrace of the 'Jan'12 low to All time high' (5915) is the resistance the Bulls need to clear #5.
• 200 SMA on the EOD is the critical Support for Bulls #5.

Moving Averages:

• 200 SMA and 50 SMA on the Day Charts remaining Bearishly Crossed #5, keeps the Bulls under pressure. 
• 13 SMA and 5 EMA on the Medium Term #3 can see a Cross or deflection - Week Number to watch 5885. 
• Bear overhang of the Long Term #1, breaks with the 5 EMA and 13 SMA crossing Bullishly - magic number Bulls need to clear in Sept'13 is 6016.

 Indicators:

• MACD remaining above zero #6 - critical for Bulls to stay in the game.

Wrap:

Bears desperate to hold 5915. Current Bull run remains alive, above the 200 SMA. 

The Dow Jones - Ichimoku Study - Bulls shoulder up :- Week: 09 September to 13 September, 2013.

Dow 30 - End of  Week Chart (EOW) - Analyzing 12 Month's Data - as on 13 Sept'13

Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click). 



Learning from the Past Week: (click here for previous post)

Bulls get another green Week #2.
Chikou Span moves away from the Price line #1.
Gap between the Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen narrow but steady #2.


Bulls clear above all the Ichimoku Lines with a massive Green week.




Looking Forward into the next Week:

Bulls get index above the Tenkan Sen, and get back the advantage #2.
Chikou Span's proximity to Price line important - to be watched for cross or deflection #1.  
Widening gap between the Senkou Span A&B is a concern area for Bears #3. 
Narrowing gap between the Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen worries the Bulls #2.


Bulls seek to remain above the Tenkan Sen while bears eye a Bearish Cross of the Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen #2.

 

BSE Sensex - Ichimoku Study - Kumo Cleared :- Week: 09 September to 13 September, 2013.

BSE 30 - End of  Week Chart (EOW) - Analyzing 12 Month's Data - as on 13 Sept'13

Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku, can be read at this link (click). 



Learning from the Past Week: (click here for previous post)

Bullish Chikou Span Cross #1, puts Bears at a disadvantage.
Bears retain the Senkou Span Cross #4.


Bulls get out of the Kumo in Style #2..




Looking Forward into the next Week:

Chikou Span remains close to Price Line - one more deflection or Cross possible #1.
Bullish Cross of the Kijun Sen and Tenkan Sen is the next Bull 'want' #3.
Bears would want to keep the Bearish Senoku Span Cross #4.


Bears look to get back into the Kumo - Bulls want the Tenkan Sen above the Kijun Sen #3.

S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Bulls look inside to go up :- Week: 03 September to 06 September: 2013.

S&P 500 - End of  Month Chart (EOM) - Channel analyzing Data from mid 2009, onward - as on 06 Sept'13

S&P 500 - End of  Week Chart (EOW) - Channel analyzing Data from Aug' 2011 onward - as on 06 Sept'13

S&P 500 - End of  Day Chart (EOD) -  Channel analyzing Data from July'2013, onward - as on 06 Sept'13

Learning from the Past Week:  (click here for the previous post)

Patterns:

• Bullish Harami forms on the Medium Term Charts #W1.
• The 'Three Inside Down' that we studied  on the weekly charts gave the Bears 4% downside honey #W1.

Support & Resistance:

• Index closes at the 13 SMA on the Week Channel #W1 which was resistance for Bulls on the upside.
• The Long Term 5 EMA was support for the Bulls on the way down  #M1.

Moving Averages:  

• 5 EMA and 13 SMA cross Bullishly on the EOD charts #D1.
• On the EOW - 5 EMA and 13 SMA touch #W1. 
• Index keeps above the 5 EMA on the Long Term Charts #M1.

Indicators:

• RSI 13 peeks above the 50 mark - MA hugging the RSI #W2.
• Stochastic 34 3 4 bounces from the over-sold  #D2.
• Oscillator remains below the over-bought, after the August Close #M2.

Bulls bring the Short Term Screen to No Man's Land - Bears fight to keep the 13 SMA #W1. 

Looking forward into the next Week:

Patterns:

• On the Medium Term Chart the Bullish Harami seen above - could become a 'Three  Inside Up' #W1- study links here, here or elsewhere.

Support & Resistance:

• 34 MVWAP on the Short Term Chart is the next resistance for the Bulls, while the 5  EMA #M1 is the Support..
• Beyond these the 76.4% Fibonacci Retrace #M1 - is the next major support and the Last All Time High is the resistance seen, #M1.

Moving Averages:

• Staying above the 5 EMA on the EOM #M1 - shows long term strength of the Bulls.
• 5 EMA & 13 SMA  on the Medium Term Charts #W1 -  poised to deflect Bullishly or cross Bearishly by EOW - to be watched.
• Closing above the 13 SMA on the Week Charts - EOW #W1 important for Bulls.

Indicators:

• Oscillator #M2 keeping below oversold favors the Bears.
• RSI emphatically crossing above its MA will work for the Bulls #W1

Bulls hope for a 'Three Inside Up' #W1, Bears wish for a Cross of the 5EMA and 13 SMA #W1.