Monday, July 7, 2014

CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Bulls use support - Week 2 of July 2014.



Nifty 50 - End of Month (EOM) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from 2008 onward - as on 04 July'14



Nifty 50 - End of  Week (EOW) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Mid 2011 onward - as on 04 July'14



Nifty 50 - End of  Day  (EOD) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Feb'2014, onward - as on 04 July'14




Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)


Patterns:
  • Post the Doji the previous week, Bulls take the index to a new ATH last week #W1.
  • Week makes a White (in our chart its Green) Marubozo candle pattern #W1.
Support & Resistance:
  • Month Pivot's R1 was the resistance #D1 last week.  
  • Bulls neatly bounce off support at the Green bottom line of the Day channel #D1 and the 5 EMA on the EOW as studied last week #W1.
Moving Averages:
  • On EOD, the 5 EMA and 13 SMA, cross Bullishly #D1.  
Indicators:
  • STS Pull Back (study) returns at the resistance (earlier support) line, but is still in the overbought zone #W2. 
  • TRD gets shy, near the 76.4 % Fibonacci retrace #M2.


Wrap:
Bulls take all screens with a bounce from support #W1 & #D1, while Bears defend the R1 of the Monthly Pivot #D1.




Looking Forward into this Week:

 

Patterns:
  • Marubozu on the Medium Term Screen is now active (Study links herehere or elsewhere).
Support & Resistance:
  • Support that bears want to reach & crack remains the 5 EMA on the EOW (7545) #W1.
  • The Bulls eye life above R1 on the Monthly Pivot#M1.
Moving Averages: 
  • Golden Cross (study herehere or elsewhere) of the 50 & 200 SMA is on and steady, even as index is clear above these SMAs #D1.
Indicators:
  • TRD Indicator keeping below the 76.4% retrace is good for the Bears #M2.
  • STS getting above resistance (earlier support) line, helps Bull Cause #W2.


Wrap:
Bears look to again reach and this time break the 5 EMA on the EOW #W1Bulls seek to get to and stay above the Monthly Pivot's R1, #D1.