Saturday, February 13, 2016
Monday, February 8, 2016
US - S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Channel Wars - Week 2 of February 2016.
Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous `post)
Patterns:.
- Index at war on the Week Channel's Bottom Line, with a Bullish 'Three inside up' #W1 and a Bearish 'Opening Black Marubozu' in play #M1.
Support & Resistance:
- Index was again resisted by the 5 EMA on the Week Screen #W1. Support was again at the '23.6% Fibonacci retrace from the ATH to the 2011 (orange) low' #W1.
Moving Averages:
- The 5 EMA on the Day Screen is crossed bearishly below the 13 SMA on all screens.
Indicators:
- RSI 13, at divergence to the price, is almost at the over sold #W2.
Wrap:
Index closes weak, near support, after Bearish Long Term and Bullish Medium Term Candle patterns, the previous week #W1.
Looking forward into this Week:
- '23.6% Fibonacci retrace from the ATH to the 2008 (blue) low' #M1, is the next major support. The MVWAP34 on the Day Charts is likely resistance #D1,
- A Death Cross (50 & 200 SMA), is on the Day Screen #D1.
Indicators:
- TSI on the Month Screen. descends from the 50% towards the 38.2% Fibonacci retrace #M2.
Wrap:
Bulls around the '23.6% Fibonacci retrace from the ATH to the March 2011 low', seek an up move from support #W1.
Bears look to enforce the down trend with drive down to the '23.6% Fibonacci retrace from the ATH to the 2008 (blue) low' #M1 with help from January's'Opening Black Marubozu' #M1.
India - CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Fibonacci Support - Week 2 of February 2016.
- The Bullish 'Morning Star' #W1, on the Medium Term Screen and the Bearish 'Opening Black Marubozu' #M1, on the Long Term Screen result in a volatile Week.
Support & Resistance:
- Index was resisted at the Monthly Pivot #M1, Index took precise support at the 'Fibonacci 61.8% retrace of the 2010 low to the ATH' #W1.
Moving Averages:
- The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA, are still crossed Bullishly on the Day Screen #D1.
- On the week charts the STS #W1, is in the over sold zone.
Wrap:
Looking Forward into this Week:
- A Morning Star Pattern (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) is active on the Medium Term charts #W1.
- 'Opening Black Marubozu' (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) is active on the Long Term chart #M1 and Medium Term Chart #W1.
Support & Resistance:
- Index has resistance at the Weekly channel bottom (Pullback) #W1. Support is way below at the Day Channel Bottom #D1.
Moving Averages:
- The Death Cross (50 and 200 SMA) has been active for the past 6 months #D1.
Indicators:
- The MACD deflects above its MA, histogram keeps above the zero line #D2.
Wrap :
Bulls hope that the pullback to Week Channel Bottom continues, with help from the 'Morning Star Pattern' #W1.
Bears aim for the day channel bottom, assisted by the 'Opening Black Marubozu' on the Long and Medium term screens #M1.Saturday, February 6, 2016
Brent Crude Oil - Ichimoku Study - Tenkan Sen Hold - Week 2 of February 2016.
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the Earlier Study: (click here for the previous post)
Bears again defend the Tenkan Sen #W2.
Gap between the Senkou Span A & B, widens #W3.
Gap between Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen, widens #W2.
Wrap:
Index at the Tenkan Sen, Bears repeat their precise defense #W2.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Chikou Span starts towards the price line #W2.
Above the Tenkan Sen, the bulls get some life #W3.
Defending the Tenkan Sen, as they have, in the past three months, keeps the Bears dominant #W2.
Wrap:
Bears look to again defend the Tenkan Sen, and get more red on the screen #W2.
Breaking the 15 week stay below the Tenkan Sen #W2, with a breakout - is the Bull plan.
Labels:
Brent,
Charts,
Chikou Span,
Crude,
EOW,
Flat,
Gravity,
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo,
Kijun Sen,
Kumo,
Oil,
Senkou Span,
Sensex,
Technical Analysis,
Tenkan Sen,
Week,
Weekly
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