Trade, Live and Thrive

Monday, September 26, 2016

US - S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Pullback and 2171 - Week 5 of September 2016.

Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)

Patterns:
Week and Day Screens continue with Pullback to Resistance - index closes at resistance point #WeekChart1 & #DayChart1.

Support & Resistance:
Resistance was 9 pips above our mark 2171 and Support at the previous week's close #WeekChart1.

Moving Averages:
The critical EMA 5, is bearishly below the MA 13, only on the Week Chart #WeekChart1.

Indicators:
The RSI is in the oversold #WeekChart2.

Wrap:
Index completes Pullback #DayChart1 & #WeekChart1. Month remains red #MonthChart.

Looking forward into this Week:

Patterns:
'Evening Star' Pattern (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) can stay active, if the September close is below 2171 #MonthChart1.
Pullback to resistance in progress on two charts above (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) #WeekChart1 & #DayChart1.

Support & Resistance:
MA200 on the Day chart is the support Bears want to get to #DayChart1. Top Tyne of the Fork on the Month chart is resistance Bulls aim for #MonthChart1.

Moving Averages:
The EMA 5, on the Long Term Chart is at 2128 for the month - a mark the Bulls want to defend #MonthChart1.

Indicators:
TSI returns from resistance at the 74% Fibonacci mark #MonthChart2.

Wrap:
Bulls Pullback seeking a close above 2171. Bears want to complete the pullback and continue down #WeekChart1 & #DayChart1.

India - CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Fork Holds, Islands Fill - Week 5 of September 2016.

Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)

Patterns:
Day Fork holds the index up, even as Islands form and fill in the gaps, neutralizing each other #DayChart1.

Support & Resistance:
Index again takes support #DayChart1, exactly at the Bottom Tyne of the Day Fork #DayChart1. Resistance was again near the top Island #DayChart1.

Moving Averages:
The critical EMA 5, poised to cross bullishly or deflect bearishly with the MA 13 #DayChart1.

Indicators:
The STC stays, well above the 76% Fibonacci retrace #MonthChart2.

Wrap:
Index vacillates between two major island reversals, Bulls find support at the Fork #DayChart1.

Looking forward into this Week:

Patterns:
Index maintains green candles for the past 6 months. Bulls on Lucky 7? #MonthChart1.

Support & Resistance:
Bottom Tyne of the Fork on the Day chart is the first support #DayChart1, Weekly 13 SMA (8680) is fall-back support. The ATH (9119) is the next resistance.

Moving Averages:
The 50 & 200 MA, are a in a 'Golden Cross' on the Day Screen #DayChart1.

Indicators:
The MACD and its MA touch, for a bearish cross or a bullish deflection #DayChart2.

Wrap:
Bulls, well in the Day fork and on the 7th straight Green Month #MonthChart1. Bears look for change, a break below the Day fork and life below 8804 #DayChart1.

Saturday, September 24, 2016

Brent Crude Oil - Ichimoku Weekly Study - Doji @ Kijun Sen - Week 5 of September 2016.

Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).

Learning from the Earlier Study: (click here for the previous post)

Index once again attempts to get out of the Kumo (unsuccessfully) #W2.
Chikou Span ranges, between Price line and the Kumo #W1,
Bears make a Doji and close below the Tenkan Sen to keep the edge #W2.

Wrap:
Kumo gravity holds back the Bulls, keeps to support at Kijun Sen #W2.

Looking Forward into this Week:

Bulls want the index above the Kumo and then above the last high #W2.
Bears push to go lower, down Kumo #W2.
Chikou Span nears the Price line - bearish cross or bullish deflection on next #W1.

Wrap:
Bears after the Doji, aim to get below the last low, going down the Kumo #W2.
Bulls want to keep it above the Kijun Sen, then go up to clear the Kumo #W2.

Say..

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Welcome Read

The Trading methods used here are suitable for those who (like me) are always Learners in the World Market (never presuming Mastery).

One learns with 'Technical Analysis' using Moving Averages, Channels, Time frames, Pattern & Candlestick Analysis, Fibonacci, Ichimoku Cloud, Oscillators & other Technical Indicators.

To comprehend the Dynamics of any Market, Peer Wisdom suggests, that we show plenty of Patience, keep it real Simple and adopt tons of Discipline.

We therefore use the same framework 'Patiently' every week - 'Simple' Technical Analysis Tools are repeated - The 'Discipline' of keeping a Neutral view is maintained.

So welcome to my notes - posted here for my Friends and Family.

Some Quotes..

There are times when playing the stock market that your money should be inactive - waiting on the sidelines in cash - waiting to come into play. In the stockmarket - time is not money - time is time and money is money. Often money that is just sitting can later be moved into the right situation at the right time and make a vast fortune – patience – patience. Patience is the key to success not speed.

Jesse Livermore.

That's been one of my mantras - focus and simplicity. Simple can be harder than complex: You have to work hard to get your thinking clean to make it simple. But it's worth it in the end because once you get there, you can move mountains.

Steve Jobs.

Discipline is the bridge between goals and accomplishment.

Jim Rohn.

Favorite Quote

"Why do we trade?

To be sure, trading allows us independence, the opportunity to work for ourselves. Trading also offers the prospects of a lifestyle in which evenings and weekends need not be consumed by work. Some of us crave the competitive aspect of trading, doing fresh battle each day. Others approach trading as a puzzle to be solved, deriving a sense of intellectual achievement. Finally, there is income. A successful trader can make seven figures in a year—and many of the traders I work with are living proof of that.

So why do they trade? Once you have the money, all of trading’s lifestyle advantages could easily be yours. Needs for competition and intellectual stimulation could be met in so many other ways. Why do traders remain traders long after they’ve won the game?

The great professions are those that serve as personal playing fields. They are the arenas we choose to express and develop ourselves. In mastering a discipline, we cultivate self-mastery. In writing a poem or placing a large trade, we capture—in a single act—our vision of how we see the world at that moment.

The great occupations are great precisely because they are such meaningful playing fields. Long after we’ve earned fame and fortune, the calling remains to be more than we are, to return to the arena and do battle with our limitations. The profound urge to extend the human grasp is common to all the great callings. To run faster, to capture more beauty, to predict ever better: in no small measure, our work is our pursuit of the godlike, however fleeting.

Maybe it is our different images of the godlike that animate our career choices.In work we find something divine within ourselves. Whether as scientists, monks, or traders, we strive for those moments when we are just a little closer to perfection, a little nearer to immortality. That is why we trade"

.... Brett N. Steenbarger

Inspiration

The Parable of Talents...

14 For the kingdom of heaven is as a man travelling into a far country, who called his own servants, and delivered unto them his goods. 15 And unto one he gave five talents, to another two, and to another one; to every man according to his several ability; and straightway took his journey. 16 Then he that had received the five talents went and traded with the same, and made them other five talents. 17 And likewise he that had received two, he also gained other two. 18 But he that had received one went and digged in the earth, and hid his lord's money. 19 After a long time the lord of those servants cometh, and reckoneth with them. 20 And so he that had received five talents came and brought other five talents, saying, Lord, thou deliveredst unto me five talents: behold, I have gained beside them five talents more. 21 His lord said unto him, Well done, thou good and faithful servant: thou hast been faithful over a few things, I will make thee ruler over many things: enter thou into the joy of thy lord. 22 He also that had received two talents came and said, Lord, thou deliveredst unto me two talents: behold, I have gained two other talents beside them. 23 His lord said unto him, Well done, good and faithful servant; thou hast been faithful over a few things, I will make thee ruler over many things: enter thou into the joy of thy lord. 24 Then he which had received the one talent came and said, Lord, I knew thee that thou art an hard man, reaping where thou hast not sown, and gathering where thou hast not strawed: 25 And I was afraid, and went and hid thy talent in the earth: lo, there thou hast that is thine. 26 His lord answered and said unto him, Thou wicked and slothful servant, thou knewest that I reap where I sowed not, and gather where I have not strawed: 27 Thou oughtest therefore to have put my money to the exchangers, and then at my coming I should have received mine own with usury. 28 Take therefore the talent from him, and give it unto him which hath ten talents. 29 For unto every one that hath shall be given, and he shall have abundance: but from him that hath not shall be taken away even that which he hath. 30 And cast ye the unprofitable servant into outer darkness: there shall be weeping and gnashing of teeth.

The Holy Bible: Matthew - Chapter 25.