India - CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Range Break? - Week 4 of May 2016.

  

Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)

Patterns:

• Index has ranged this month about the monthly pivot, between the 5 EMA and 13 SMA #M1.

Support & Resistance:

• 50 SMA on the weekly  screen #W1 was again resistance. The rising channel on the day screen was broken and the daily 50 SMA was support  #D1.

Moving Averages: 

• The critical 5 EMA, is now bullishly above the 13 SMA, only on the Week screen #W1.

Indicators:

• The TRD #M2, is facing resistance at the mid point (50% Fibonacci).

Wrap:

Pullback to Week Channel bottom #W1 and Throwback to Day channel top #D1, produces a trading range, Index ranges in it with a downward bias.

Looking Forward into this Week:

Patterns:

• 'Evening Doji Star' (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) has been active on the Medium Term chart #W1.

Support & Resistance:

• Resistance is at 8040, the 'Fibonacci 76.4% retrace of the 2010 low to the ATH)'  #W1. Support is at the (red) Day Channel Top #D1.

Moving Averages: 

• A Death Cross (50 and 200 SMA) is active on the day chart, gap between these MAs is reducing, pointing to a possible Golden Cross #D1.

Indicators:

• The MACD deflecting below and off its MA with its histogram below the zero line, is good for Bears #D2.

Wrap :

Bulls and bears again seek resolution  of the current range as studied.



 

Brent Crude Oil - Ichimoku Weekly Study - Kumo - Week 4 of May 2016.

Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click). 

Learning from the Earlier Study: (click here for the previous post) 

Chikou Span clears the Price line with style, nudges the Tenkan Sen #W1.
Index reaches for the Kumo #W2.
Senoku Spans A and B converge #W3.

Wrap:
Chikou Span clears the price line #W1, Index all green #W2.



Looking Forward into this Week: 

After the bullish Chikou Span Cross, Bulls see resistance at the Kumo #W1. 
Holding the the Chikou Span below the Tenkan Sen, important for Bears #W2.
The Senoku Span 'A' crossing above the 'B' is the next Bull ask #W3.
  
Wrap:
Defending the Kumo is the Bear target #W2.
Keeping the Chikou span above the price line and attacking the Kumo is the Bull task #W2. 

Say....

US - S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - H&S ! - Week 3 of May 2016.

 

Learning from last Week:  (click here for the previous post)

Patterns: 

• Bears close the index at the 50 SMA #D1, index makes the right shoulder perfectly and is almost at the neckline of the Head and Shoulder (H&S) pattern #D1, on the Day Chart. 

Support & Resistance:

• Index closes at the Daily 50 SMA #D1. After facing resistance at the daily 13 SMA #D1.

Moving Averages:  

• The critical 5 EMA, is bearishly below the 13 SMA, only on the Day Screen #D1.

Indicators:

• STS below the 50% mark #D2.

Wrap:

Bears keep the index below the previous High #W1. Bulls continue to hold above the daily 222 SMA but almost allow a bearish 'Head and Shoulder' on the day screen #D1.

Looking forward into this Week:

Patterns:

• Morning Star (Study Links here, here or elsewhere), is active on the Month Chart #M1. 
• Possible, Head & Shoulder Pattern (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) on the Day Chart, next watch for the neck line break #D1. 

Support & Resistance: 

• Last High (2116) continues to be the resistance to beat. The Daily 222 SMA, is still the support, that Bulls want to stay above #D1.

Moving Averages:

• The Death Cross (55 & 222 SMA), has turned into a 'Golden Cross' on the Day Screen.

Indicators:

• TSI is above the 50% mark #M2.

Wrap:

Bulls, still good to attempt another go at making a higher high (2116+), keeping above the neckline of the H&S #D1.
Bears would want to break down below the neckline of the H&S and then the 222 SMA #D1.

India - CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Range Days - Week 3 of May 2016.

 

 

 

Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)

Patterns:

• index has a ranging week  with  a downward  bias, ends near the  bottom of the upward  channel on the day screen #D1.

Support & Resistance:

• 50 SMA on the weekly  screen #W1 was again resistance. The rising channel on the day screen was again support  #D1.

Moving Averages: 

• The critical 5 EMA, is now bullishly above the 13 SMA, on the Day screen #D1.

Indicators:

• The TRD #M2, is facing resistance at the mid point (50% Fibonacci).

Wrap:

Pullback to Week Channel bottom #W1 and Throwback to Day channel top #D1, produces a trading range, Index ranges in it with a downward bias.

Looking Forward into this Week:

Patterns:

• Index is between the zone of "Throwback" to Day channel top #D1 and "Pull back" to Week channel bottom #W1 (Study Links here, here or elsewhere). This range to be resolved.

Support & Resistance:

• Resistance is at 8040, the 'Fibonacci 76.4% retrace of the 2010 low to the ATH)'  #W1. Support is at the (red) Day Channel Top #D1.

Moving Averages: 

• The Death Cross (50 and 200 SMA) has been active for the past 6+ months #D1.

Indicators:

• The MACD deflecting below and off its MA with its histogram below the zero line, is good for Bears #D2.

Wrap :

Bulls and bears again seek resolution  of the current range as studied.