Saturday, April 9, 2016
Monday, April 4, 2016
US - S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Marubozu - Week 1 of April 2016.
Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous `post)
Patterns:
- Bulls end March strong, with a Bullish Opening White Marubozu #M1.
- Index stays below the middle tine of the fork #D1, which was resistance. Support was again the 13 SMA on the same screen #D1.
Moving Averages:
- The critical 5 EMA, is poised to cross bullishly or deflect bearishly with the 13 SMA, on the Long Term Screen #M1.
Indicators:
- STS remains in the over sold zone #D1.
Wrap:
Bears keep index below the previous High #W1. Bulls continue to hold it above the daily 13 SMA.
Looking forward into this Week:
- Last High (2116) and the middle prong for the fork #D1 are the immediate resistances. The lower prong of the Fork #D1, and the Daily 222 SMA, are the immediate supports.
- A Death Cross (55 & 222 SMA), is active on the Day Screen.
- The critical 5 EMA, is poised to cross bullishly or deflect bearishly with the 13 SMA, on the Long Term Screen at 2090 #M1.
Indicators:
- RSI 13 going above the 50% mark, is important for the Bull up move #W2.
Wrap:
Bears look to slip below the Fork #D1, and go about making a lower low.
India - CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Channel Top Stop - Week 1 of April 2016.
- Index stopped at the top line of the Day Channel, Bears get their red week #D1.
Support & Resistance:
- The Weekly 5 EMA, was support and the Day Channel Top was once again the resistance last week #D1.
Moving Averages:
- The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA, remain in a Bullish cross on the Week Screen #W1.
Indicators:
- On the week charts the STS #W1, still below the 50 mark.
Wrap:
Pullback to Week Channel bottom in progress, Last weeks action stalls the index at the Day Channel Top #D1.
Looking Forward into this Week:
- 'Opening Black Marubozu' (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) is active on the Long Term chart #M1.
- Channel Top, hit on the Day Chart #D1. Channels, worth a study.(Study Links here, here or elsewhere)
Support & Resistance:
- Bulls aim for the resistance at 8040, the 'Fibonacci 76.4% retrace of the 2010 low to the ATH)' and close to the Pullback target #W1.
- The daily 5 EMA, is the support that the bears would want to close the week below - to start some downward traction.
- The Death Cross (50 and 200 SMA) has been active for the past 6+ months #D1.
Indicators:
- The TRD staying above the 38.6% Fibo, for the month, helps the Bull cause #M2.
Wrap :
Bulls see the Pullback from the Weekly 200 SMA, to the Week Channel Bottom #W1, continuing, after a Pop out of the Day Channel.
Bears depend on the resistance at the 'zone' of the Day Channel Top line #D1, to help them get some more red on the screen.
Saturday, April 2, 2016
Brent Crude Oil - Ichimoku Study - Kijun Sen Fold - Week 1 of April 2016.
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the Earlier Study: (click here for the previous post)
Bears keep index below the Kijun Sen #W2.
Gap between Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen, reduces #W2.
Chikou Span turns shy of the Price line #W1
Wrap:
Index is currently oscillating between the Kijun Sen and Tenkan Sen #W2.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Chikou Span approaching the price line, great for Bulls #W1.
Winning the battle for the Kijun Sen, now critical for Bulls & Bears #W2.
Cross or deflection of the Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen is the next action point #W2.
Wrap:
Longs wish for a Tenkan Sen - Kijun Sen Bullish Cross and Bears want the Chikou Span away from the Price line #W2,
Labels:
Brent,
Charts,
Chikou Span,
Commodity,
Crude,
EOW,
Flat,
Gravity,
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo,
Kijun Sen,
Kumo,
Oil,
Senkou Span,
Technical Analysis,
Tenkan Sen,
Week,
Weekly
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