Thursday, December 10, 2015

US - S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Doji Times - Week 2 of December 2015.















Learning from last Week:  (click here for the previous post)


Patterns:
.
  • Index again hesitates with another even longer Doji, between two critical Channel borders  #W1.
Support & Resistance:
  • Index again took support just above the 5 EMA on the Weekly Chart #W1 - it again failed to pierce the week Channel's bottom (orange) #W1.
Moving Averages:  
    • The 5 EMA and 13 SMA, on the Monthly Screen can cross bullishly, above 2072 #M1.
    Indicators:
    • RSI 13, hesitates at the oversold mark  #W2.  


    Wrap:
    Bears keep the index below the Week Channel bottom (orange) once again #W1.
    Undecided Bulls produce another doji #W1.




    Looking forward into this Week:

    Patterns:
    • The 'W' pattern on the Day Chart is still in play (Study Links herehere or elsewhere) #D1.
    Support & Resistance: 
    • 200 SMA on the day chart, is now the Index support, that Bears want to get below. Index Resistance is the Week Channel's Bottom line (orange) #W1,
    Moving Averages:
    • Death Cross on the EOD, is active as long as the 50 SMA and the 200 SMA stay crossed Bearishly (Study Links herehere or elsewhere) #D1,
    Indicators:
    • STS turns back from the oversold #W2.


    Wrap:

    Bulls hope for rewards from the big 'W' pattern #D1, with a breakout from the ATH #M1.

    Stoic Bears want to use the resistance at the Week Channel bottom (orange) #W1 to send the index down #D1.


    Wednesday, December 9, 2015

    Europe - CAC 40 - Ichimoku Study - Kumo zone 2 - Week 2 of December 2015.





    Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click). 


    Learning from the Earlier Study: 
    (click here for the previous post)

    Bulls get back into the Kumo, Chikou Span stays below the Price line #W1. 
    Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen, make a bullish (edited) cross #W2..
    Senoku Span A & B, separate #W3.

    Wrap: 
    Bulls lose advantage as index slides inside the Kumo #W2.
    Bears allow a Bullish Tenkan Sen - Kijun Sen Cross (edited) #W2.


    Looking Forward into this Week:


    Chikou Span crossing above the Price line, is the current Bull ask #W1.
    Index is now vacillating in and out of the Kumo, Bulls now see resistance at the Senoku Span A #W2.
    Cross of the Senoku Span A & B is the next event, that the Bears hope for #W3.

    Wrap:

    Bears look to keep the index in the Kumo and below the Kijun Sen #W2.
    Bulls seek get above the Kumo and get the Chikou Span to clear the Price line #W2.



    India - CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Shooting Star effect - Week 2 of December 2015.











     
    Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)

    Patterns:
    • Shooting Star, active on the Long Term Screen #M1 continues to the active in December, as November closes below the October Open (i.e. 7992)
    Support & Resistance:
    • Last week the Bulls again found support at the Day channel middle #D1Bears halt the index near the Weekly 13 EMA #W1.
    Moving Averages: 
    • The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA, poised to cross Bearishly on the Day Chart #D1.
    Indicators:
    • On the Day chart the  MACD and its MA poised to cross bearishly, staying below zero, Histogram ticks down #M2.

    Wrap:

    Bulls take support near at the Day Channel middle line #D1. 
    Bears defend the weekly 13 SMA for the second week in a row #W1.





    Looking Forward into this Week:

    Patterns:
    • Shooting Star, is active (Study Links herehere or elsewhere) on the Long Term Screen #M1 for December.
    Support & Resistance:
    • Index has immediate support at the bottom of the Weekly Channel #W1. Resistance is at the weekly 50 SMA #W1.
    Moving Averages: 
    Indicators:
    • The STS hovers above the oversold, a take off to the Over Bought is the Bull ask #W2.


    Wrap :
    Bears hope for life below the Week Channel bottom (green) line #W1.
    Defending the Day channel mid line #D1, Bulls seek the weekly 50 SMA #W1.


    Monday, December 7, 2015

    China - SSEC - Ichimoku Study - Tenkan Sen Holds - Week 2 of December 2015.







    Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click). 



    Learning from the Earlier Study: 
    (click here for the previous post)


    Index takes support at the Tenkan Sen, with action around the Kumo #W2.

    Chikou Span stayssdips below the Kijun Sen #W1.
    Senkou Span A & B, stay crossed Bearishly and rise #W3.

    Wrap: 

    Index rises and falls, with a rising Kumo #W2.




    Looking Forward into this Week:


    Bearish Senoku Span Cross is active (
    Its called a 'Neutral' Bearish cross, because it occurred when the index was on Neutral territory i.e inside the Kumo) #W2.

    Bulls seek to keep the index inside the Kumo #W2,.
    Bulls continue to need the Tenkan Sen support, for the next rise inside the Kumo #W2.


    Wrap:
    Bears push for a resumption of the down trend, after the Senoku Span Cross #W3.
    Bulls seek life in the Kumo and a steady up-move W2 .