Monday, September 15, 2014

S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Channel Break - Week 3 of September 2014.


S&P 500 - End of  Month Chart (EOM) - Channel analyzing Data from mid 2009, onward - as on 12 Sept'14


S&P 500 - End of  Week Chart (EOW) - Channel analyzing Data from Aug'2011 onward - as on 12 Sept'14


S&P 500 - End of  Day Chart (EOD) -  Channel analyzing Data from Jan'14, onward - as on 12 Sept'14




Learning from last Week:  (click here for the previous post)

Patterns:
  • Long Term Bullish Engulfing becoming a 3 outside up, still an option by month end - see the last 3 Month candles #M1.
  • Evening Star again fails to evolve on the EOW #W1 - Bears still get a red week.
Support & Resistance:
  • Bears crack the EOD channel's bottom line,  Pull back (study) of Price to EOD channel bottom line possible #D1.
  • 5 EMA and 13 SMA, cross Bearishly on the EOD #D1.
Moving Averages:  
    • Bulls close the week exactly on the 5 EMA on the EOW (1986) #W1.
    Indicators:
    • RSI 13 meanders in the 60s #W2.
    • TSI continues holding, above its crucial Fibonacci level #M2.

    Wrap:
    Bears almost take the Short Term Screen, Bulls arrest fall at 5 EMA, on the Medium Term screen #W1.




    Looking forward into this Week:


    Patterns:

    • Pull back (study) of Price to EOD channel bottom #D1 - to be watched to assess Bull / Bear strength.
    • Bullish Engulfing on long term charts can evolve into a 3 outside up (Study Links herehere or elsewhere) - to be watched for until month end #M1.
    Support & Resistance: 
    • EOD channel Bottom #D1 and the ATH, are resistances.
    • The 13 SMA on the EOW (1972) is the Support Bulls would want to defend #D1.
    Moving Averages:
    • A Bullish cross of the 5 EMA and 13 SMA, on the EOD is what Bears would want to avoid now #D1.
    Indicators:
    • STS holding in the over bought, works for the Bulls #D2.


    Wrap:
    Bulls should look to defend the 13 SMA on the EOW and get back to the ATH #D1.
    Bears would try to complete the Pull back and continue with the fall #D1.