Monday, September 15, 2014

CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Throwback Touch - Week 3 of September 2014.


Nifty 50 - End of Month (EOM) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from 2008 onward - as on 12 Sept'14


Nifty 50 - End of  Week (EOW) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Mid 2011 onward - as on 12 Sept'14


Nifty 50 - End of  Day  (EOD) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Feb'2014, onward - as on 12 Sept'14




Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)


Patterns:
  • Index dances in a High Wave candle pattern last week #W1.
  • Throwback (study) of Price to old EOD channel's top, sees Bulls managing the Throwback with an exact touch of the red Channel Top line #D3.
Support & Resistance:
  • Bulls make new ATH but slip below the 5 EMA, on the EOD by week end #D1
  • Bears fight back to get a 'red' week candle #W1
Moving Averages: 
  • The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the EOD poised to meet #D1.
Indicators:
  • MACD and its MA touch - MACD & Volume divergence to Price is huge #D2. 
  • TRD  #M1 faces resistance at the 76.4% Fibonacci retrace.

Wrap:
Bulls make another new High, Bears use 'Throwback' to slip index below the 5 EMA #D1.




Looking Forward into this Week:


Patterns:
  • High Wave candle (Study Links herehere or elsewhere) pattern's effect is now active #W1.
  • Throwback (study) of Price to last week's 'EOD channel top' completes with precision. Follow up move awaited #D3.
Support & Resistance:
  • Support for the index is the 5 EMA, on the EOW (7974) #W1.
  • Index  faces resistance at the ATH (8180) #D1. 
Moving Averages: 
  • Golden Cross (study herehere or elsewhere) of the 50 & 200 SMA is on - the MA's are currently back to converging #D1.
  • The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the EOD poised to touch (e.g. at 8005 for Monday) #D1. Watch for Bearish Cross or Bullish deflection.
Indicators:
  • STS slipping below the overbought, will work for the Bears #W1.


Wrap:
Bulls want to use the Throwback #D3 to keep above the 5 EMA, on the Week Chart and make new ATHs #W1.
Bears see the High Wave as a way to defend the current ATH ( 8180) and move below the 8K mark #W1.