Monday, April 20, 2015

CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Mid Life Crisis rewards - Week 4 of April 2015.

Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)

  • Index falls back from the Mid-Line of the Day Channel #D1, and Bears reap some rewards  and enforce a Engulfing on the previous week's candle #W1.
  • Bulls counter the Long Term 'Bearish Engulfing' with a green April candle - see last three candles #M1
Support & Resistance:
  • Index falls from the Day channel's mid line #D1, to the Month Channel's mid line #M1.
Moving Averages: 
  • The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the EOW, remain crossed bearishly #W1.
  • STS stays below the over bought line #W2.

Bears hold the Nifty at the Mid point of the Day Channel and drive the index below the 13 SMA #D1.
Bulls still hold a green candle for April #M1, despite a Long Term 'Bearish Engulfing' #M1.

Looking Forward into this Week:

  • A Bearish Engulfing is active on the Long Term Screen (Study Links herehere or elsewhere) #M1 and on the Medium Term Screen #W1.. 
  • Above can turn into a Three Outside Down (Study Links herehere or elsewhere) #M1 and #W1, to be watched for.
Support & Resistance:
  • Index faces resistance at the Day Channel's mid point #D1 and S1 on the Month Pivot #M1. 
  • Support points available are the Month Channel's Mid-Line and the April Wall (8343) #W1.
Moving Averages: 
  • Golden Cross (study herehere or elsewhere) of the 50 & 200 SMA is on - these MA's are currently converging #D1.
  • Bulls look forward to the MACD on the Short term screen staying above the zero mark #D.

Wrap :
Bulls look to get above the Daily Channel's mid point #D1 and head for the ATH.
Bears hope for an April close below 8491 (the March Close), triggering a long term Three Outside Down #M1 and like wise this week's close below 8606 #W1.