Monday, October 20, 2014

S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Channel Support Hammer - Week 4 of October 2014.



S&P 500 - End of  Month Chart (EOM) - Channel analyzing Data from mid 2009, onward - as on 17 Oct'14



S&P 500 - End of  Week Chart (EOW) - Channel analyzing Data from Aug'2011 onward - as on 17 Oct'14



S&P 500 - End of  Day Chart (EOD) -  Channel analyzing Data from Jan'14, onward - as on 17 Oct'14





Learning from last Week:  (click here for the previous post)

Patterns:
  • Weekly Candle is a Hammer #W1.
  • Index falls below the Weekly Channel Bottom and closes both above the Monthly Channel Bottom #M1 and our mark of 1883.
Support & Resistance:
  • Bulls defend the Month channel bottom on the EOM #M1, and stay above the 13 SMA on the Month Chart #M1.
  • Bears have it good as they crack the 200 SMA, on the EOD and the EOW channel Bottom #W1.
Moving Averages:  
    • 5 EMA and 13 SMA, cross Bearishly on the EOW #W1.
    Indicators:
    • RSI 13 down to the 40s #W2.

    Wrap:
    Bulls take support near the Long Term Channel bottom #M1 and hold out a Hammer. 
    Bears get below the 200 SMA, and control the Short and Medium Term Screens #W1.




    Looking forward into this Week:

    Patterns:
    • Hammer (Study Links herehere or elsewhere) active in the Medium Term screen #W1.
    • Long Term Channel #M1, is support for the Bulls this week and Medium Term Channel Bottom is resistance #W1.
    Support & Resistance: 
    • EOW channel Bottom #W1, and the MVWAP 34 (EOW), are resistances.
    • The EOM channel bottom #M1, and the Monthly 13 SMA (1883) #M1, are the Supports.
    Moving Averages:
    • The Index is above the 13 SMA on the EOM i.e 1883 #M1.
    • 5 EMA for Monday (next trading day), is also 1883 #D1.
    Indicators:
    • TSI looks for support, near the 61.8% Fibonacci retrace #M2.


    Wrap:
    Bulls look to hammer a defense at 1883, defending the Monthly Channel Bottom #M1. 
    Bears look to hold below the Weekly Channel Bottom and the MVWAP 34 #W1