Monday, July 28, 2014

CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Bulls on Pasture - Week 5 of July 2014.



Nifty 50 - End of Month (EOM) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from 2008 onward - as on 25 July'14



Nifty 50 - End of  Week (EOW) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Mid 2011 onward - as on 25 July'14




Nifty 50 - End of  Day  (EOD) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Feb'2014, onward - as on 25 July'14





Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)


Patterns:
  • Last week's Bullish Harami Pattern turns into a Three Inside Up by a hair thin margin - however the Bulls get a new ATH  #W1.
Support & Resistance:
  • Bulls get their grass by reaching the monthly pivot's R1 and making a new ATH as studied, The 5 EMA on the EOD provides support all week #D1.
Moving Averages: 
  • The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the EOD crossed bullishly #D1.
Indicators:
  • MACD shows clear divergence with Price for the 3rd consecutive wave, MACD moves above its MA #D2. 

Wrap:
Bulls control all screens and even graze briefly in new Pastures, while Bears defend the EOD Channel Top #D1.





Looking Forward into this Week:

 

Patterns:
  • Bullish Three Inside Up, formed by a slender 10 point margin (Study links herehere or elsewhere), is active #W1.
Support & Resistance:
  • Bears will want to get back below the 5 EMA on the EOW (7641) #W1, while Bulls look to be above R1 on the Month Pivot #D1. 
Moving Averages: 
  • Golden Cross (study herehere or elsewhere) of the 50 & 200 SMA is on - however the MA's rate of climb is decelerating #D1.
Indicators:
  • MACD divergence to Price looks good for Bears, while the MACD staying above its MA helps Bull cause #D2.


Wrap:
Bears look to defend the Day Channel Top #D1 and slip below the 5 EMA on the EOW #W1Bulls seek to be above R1 on the July pivot and make new ATHs #D1.