Monday, June 2, 2014

CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Engulfed - Week 1 of June 2014.



Nifty 50 - End of Month (EOM) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from 2008 onward - as on 30 May'14



Nifty 50 - End of  Week (EOW) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Mid 2011 onward - as on 30 May'14



Nifty 50 - End of  Day  (EOD) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Feb'2014, onward - as on 30 May'14





Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)


Patterns:
  • Bulls engulfed, but hold on to gains from the 'Medium Term', Three Outside up #W1. 
Support & Resistance:
  • 13 SMA on the EOD #D1, was support for the Bulls even as they closed last week above our support of 7200.  
  • Day Channel Mid-line was resistance #D1.
Moving Averages:
  • On EOD the 5 EMA and 13 SMA, is poised for Bearish Cross or Bullish Deflection #D1.  
Indicators:
  • STS crashes below its support line, but still in the overbought #W2. 
  • TRD above the 61.8% Fibonacci retrace #M2.


Wrap:
Bears Engulf Bulls #W1.




Looking Forward into this Week:

 

Patterns:
  • Bulls look to the 'Medium Term', Three Outside up (Study links herehere or elsewhere) for some more gains.
  • Bears push for the Bearish Engulfing (Study links herehere or elsewhere) to evolve into a Three outside Down (Study links herehere or elsewhere). 
Support & Resistance:
  • Support for Bulls is now the 5 EMA on the EOW  i.e. 7117.
  • 7236 (May Wall) is current resistance, that the Bears want to defend. 
Moving Averages: 
  • Golden Cross (study herehere or elsewhere) of the 50 & 200 SMA is on and steady, even as index is clear above these SMAs #D1.
  • Bearish Cross or Bullish Deflection of the 5 EMA and 13 SMA, up early next week #D1. 
Indicators:
  • TRD Indicator keeping above the 61.8% retrace is good for the Bulls #M2.
  • STS staying below its support line, helps Bears #W2.


Wrap:
Bears look to defend 7236 and enforce a Bearish Three Outside Down #W1Bulls seek momentum to retake the ATH #W2.