Monday, May 12, 2014

S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - ATH Try - Week 3 of May 2014.



S&P 500 - End of  Month Chart (EOM) - Channel analyzing Data from mid 2009, onward - as on 09 May'14



S&P 500 - End of  Week Chart (EOW) - Channel analyzing Data from Aug'2011 onward - as on 09 May'14



S&P 500 - End of  Day Chart (EOD) -  Channel analyzing Data from Dec'13, onward - as on 09 May'14



Learning from last Week:  (click here for the previous post)

Patterns:
  • Bulls get shy near ATH produce a Doji week #W1.
  • Combination of last two weekly candles makes a Harami Cross #W1.
Support & Resistance:
  • Index faces resistance near the ATH even as the 13 SMA #W1, was near support.
Moving Averages:  
  • The 5 EMA and 13 SMA #D1 - on the short term screen - touch for last 3 days. 
Indicators:
  • RSI 13, stagnates in the 60s #W2.
  • TSI continues holding above its crucial Fibonacci level #M2.

Wrap:
Bulls dominate all 3 screens - Bears defend the current ATH.




Looking forward into this Week:


Patterns:
  • Doji Candle Pattern (Study link herehere or elsewhereis active  #W1. 
  • Harami Cross (Study link herehere or elsewhere) seen as a Continuation Pattern is also active and can produce a Three Inside Down (Study link herehere or elsewhere) if this week closes below 1878.
Support & Resistance:
  • Bulls see support at the 13 SMA (1859) #W1, while the Week Channel Top #W1 remains resistance.
Moving Averages:
  • 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the EOW #W1 would cross bearishly at a Index reading below 1835 for this, the third consecutive week.
  • 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the EOD touching for last three days, can produce Bullish Deflection or Bearish Cross #D1.
Indicators:
  • Stochastic 34 3 4, straying back into the over-bought zone, works for the Bulls #D2. 


Wrap:
Bulls need to try for another ATH - Bear future lies below the 13 SMA on the Weekly charts #W1.