Monday, December 16, 2013

S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Bears Cash in - Week 3 of December 2013.



S&P 500 - End of  Month Chart (EOM) - Channel analyzing Data from mid 2009, onward - as on 13 Dec'13



S&P 500 - End of  Week Chart (EOW) - Channel analyzing Data from Aug'2011 onward - as on 13 Dec'13



S&P 500 - End of  Day Chart (EOD) -  Channel analyzing Data from Oct'2013, onward - as on 13 Dec'13


Learning from last Week:  (click here for the previous post)


Patterns:

  • Bullish 'Three Inside up' #M1, on the Long Term Charts kept November green - December honors are with Bears.
Support & Resistance:
  • Index fell out of Day Channel, Pulled back from Support to last week's Channel Bottom, and then crashed below the MVWAP 34 #D1. 
  • MVWAP 34 on the EOD #D1 was the support Bears cracked last week to take the Short Term screen.
Moving Averages:  
  • Bulls keep December candle clear of the 5 EMA on the Long Term Charts #M1.
  • EOD 5 EMA ends below the 13 SMA despite Bull attempts intra-week #D1. 
Indicators:
  • RSI 13, manages to stay in the overbought #W2.
  • Month Chart Oscillator remains below the over-bought, after the August Close #M2.


Wrap:
Bears Cash in after spoiling the Bull Party - Bulls keep nose above 13 SMA on the EOW #W1..



Looking forward into this Week:


Patterns:
  • Long Term Chart's Bullish 'Three Inside up' (Study link herehere or elsewhere) #M1 - still active.
Support & Resistance:
  • 200 SMA and EOD channel Bottom on the Short Term Chart are Support for the Bulls, while the 'All Time High' Line and the Channel Top #W1 are resistances.
Moving Averages:
  • Bulls need to get above the 5 EMA on the EOW (1785) to gain some traction #W1.
  • If a Bullish re-cross of the 5 EMA and 13 SMA, happens this week, along with above would give Bulls direction going forward. 
Indicators:
  • Stochastic 34 3 4 heading to the oversold, works for the Bears #D1


Wrap:
Bulls see life above 1785 and trust the 'Three Inside Up' #M1, helps make December green - Bears look to take the Index below the 13 SMA #W1.