Monday, November 11, 2013

CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Cross Bears - Week 2 of November 2013.


Nifty 50 - End of Month (EOM) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from 2008 onward - as on 11 Nov'13



Nifty 50 - End of  Week (EOW) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Mid 2011 onward - as on 11 Nov'13



Nifty 50 - End of  Day  (EOD) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Aug'2013, onward - as on 11 Nov'13




Learning from the Past Week: (click here for the previous post)



Patterns:

  • Bulls fail to capitalize on the long term 'Three Inside up' #M1 as bears claim honors for the first week of the month.
Support & Resistance:
  • Bulls slip below the Channel middle on the EOD #D1 - still above major support - the 34 EMA on the EOD #D1.
  • All time High (ATH) #D1, was resistance last couple of weeks.
Moving Averages:
  • EOD - 50 SMA and 200 SMA stay crossed bullishly in a Golden Cross #D1. 
  • Bears force a close a tad below the 5 EMA on EOW #W1.
Indicators:
  • STS reaches the over bought - resistance of the previous weeks is now support #W2.
  • Divergence (study) of the TRD to Price from last ATH (Oct 2011) to this ATH (Oct 2013) apparent #M2.


Wrap:
Bulls fail to conquer the All time High bearing a Golden Cross - Bears held around Weekly 5 EMA #W1




Looking Forward into the next Week:


Patterns:

  • Bullish 'Three Inside up' (Study link herehere or elsewhere) on the Long Term Chart still active #M1. 
Support & Resistance:
  • The 34 EMA continues as last major support for the Bulls #D1.
  • Week channel top #W1 remains a pretty decent resistance for Bulls.
Moving Averages: 
  • Golden Cross (study herehere or elsewhere) 50 & 200 SMA - can give the Bulls some verve to attempt a new ATH.
  • Above the 5 EMA on the EOW, #W1 i.e. 6143 Bulls have momentum to attempt another attack on the ATH #W1.
 Indicators:
  • MACD and its MA are crossed bearishly #D1.
  • STS resistance line becomes a strong support on the way down #W2.


Wrap:
Bulls look to make another attempt at the ATH #W1 - Bears look to stay below the 5 EMA on the Medium term charts #W1.