Sunday, November 11, 2012

S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Week: 05 November to 09 November, 2012 - Bears Gain




S&P 500: Long Term View (or) Month Chart (each candle is 1 month's price)  (or) EOM Chart: 
S&P 500 - End of  Month Chart (EOM) - 09 November, 2012
Above is the Month Chart - EOM - analyzing Data from mid 2009, onward





S&P 500: Medium Term View (or) Week Chart (each candle is 1 week's price) (or) EOW Chart:
S&P 500 - End of  Week Chart (EOW) - 09 November, 2012
Above is the Week Chart - EOW -  analyzing Data from Q2-Q3 2012, onward.






&P 500: Short Term View (or) Day Chart (each candle is 1 day's price move)  (or) EOD Chart:
S&P 500 - End of  Day Chart (EOD) -  09 November, 2012
Above is the Day Chart - EOD -  analyzing Data from Oct'2012, onward.





Learning from the Past Week:  (click here for the post)

The Bearish Harami on the EOM #1 just became spicier for Bears, as its now resembles a Three Inside Down - having gone below last month's close as studied.
Bearish Deflection of the 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the EOD #6 is what killed the Bull Fight back.
A Bearish deflection of the MA and RSI on the EOW #4 happens.
Current Support is on the '23.6% Fibonacci retrace of the Oct'07 High and Mar'09 Low' #1 and #5.
Support for the Bulls fails at the MVWAP 34 on the EOW #3.





Looking forward into the next Week:

Position of the STS #2 - indicates the Bull strength - long term.
Bears look to keep it below the MVWAP 34 on the EOW #3.
Keeping the %K below the %D on the EOM #2 is also what the Bears would like to do.
A Bullish cross of the 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the EOD #6, is something for the Bulls to hope for  - to fight back with.
Bulls would also use the nearby Support Line i.e. '23.6% Fibonacci retrace of the Oct'07 High and Mar'09 Low'  #1 and #5.