Saturday, May 21, 2016
Monday, May 16, 2016
US - S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - H&S ! - Week 3 of May 2016.
Learning from last
Week: (click here for the previous post)
Patterns:
- Bears close the index at the 50 SMA #D1, index makes the right shoulder perfectly and is almost at the neckline of the Head and Shoulder (H&S) pattern #D1, on the Day Chart.
- Index closes at the Daily 50 SMA #D1. After facing resistance at the daily 13 SMA #D1.
Moving Averages:
- The critical 5 EMA, is bearishly below the 13 SMA, only on the Day Screen #D1.
Indicators:
- STS below the 50% mark #D2.
Wrap:
Bears keep the index below the previous High
#W1.
Bulls continue to hold above the daily 222 SMA but almost allow a bearish 'Head and Shoulder' on the day screen #D1.
Looking forward into this Week:
- Last High (2116) continues to be the resistance to beat. The Daily 222 SMA, is still the support, that Bulls want to stay above #D1.
- The Death Cross (55 & 222 SMA), has turned into a 'Golden Cross' on the Day Screen.
Indicators:
- TSI is above the 50% mark #M2.
Wrap:
Bears would want to break down below the neckline of the H&S and then the 222 SMA #D1.
India - CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Range Days - Week 3 of May 2016.
Learning from last
Week: (click here for the previous post)
Patterns:
Patterns:
- index has a ranging week with a downward bias, ends near the bottom of the upward channel on the day screen #D1.
Support &
Resistance:
- 50 SMA on the weekly screen #W1 was again resistance. The rising channel on the day screen was again support #D1.
Moving Averages:
- The critical 5 EMA, is now bullishly above the 13 SMA, on the Day screen #D1.
Indicators:
- The TRD #M2, is facing resistance at the mid point (50% Fibonacci).
Wrap:
Pullback to Week
Channel bottom #W1 and Throwback to Day channel top #D1, produces a trading range, Index ranges in it with a downward bias.
Looking Forward into
this Week:
- Index is between the zone of "Throwback" to Day channel top #D1 and "Pull back" to Week channel bottom #W1 (Study Links here, here or elsewhere). This range to be resolved.
Support &
Resistance:
- Resistance is at 8040, the 'Fibonacci 76.4% retrace of the 2010 low to the ATH)' #W1. Support is at the (red) Day Channel Top #D1.
- The Death Cross (50 and 200 SMA) has been active for the past 6+ months #D1.
Indicators:
- The MACD deflecting below and off its MA with its histogram below the zero line, is good for Bears #D2.
Wrap :
Saturday, May 14, 2016
Brent Crude Oil - Ichimoku Weekly Study - Chikou Span Action - Week 3 of May 2016.
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the Earlier Study: (click here for the previous post)
Chikou Span stays on and closes just above, the Price line #W1.
Tenkan Sen supports the index #W2.
Senoku Spans A and B converge #W3.
Wrap:
Chikou Span closes above the price line #W1, Index goes green #W2.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Bullish Chikou Span Cross, great for Bulls #W1.
Getting the index below the Tenkan Sen, important for Bears #W2.
Bulls see the narrow Kumo above the price line #W2, as an ideal place for the index, to pierce through and get above the Kumo.
Wrap:
Index heading to the Kumo #W2, and this Bullish Cross of the Chikou Span and Price line holding #W1, would be the Bull ask.
Bears want to see the throw back of the index reaching the Kijun Sen, and the Chikou Span sliding below the Price line #W2.
Labels:
Brent,
Charts,
Chikou Span,
Commodity,
Crude,
EOW,
Flat,
Gravity,
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo,
Kijun Sen,
Kumo,
Oil,
Senkou Span,
Technical Analysis,
Tenkan Sen,
Week,
Weekly
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