Monday, December 7, 2015

China - SSEC - Ichimoku Study - Tenkan Sen Holds - Week 2 of December 2015.







Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click). 



Learning from the Earlier Study: 
(click here for the previous post)


Index takes support at the Tenkan Sen, with action around the Kumo #W2.

Chikou Span stayssdips below the Kijun Sen #W1.
Senkou Span A & B, stay crossed Bearishly and rise #W3.

Wrap: 

Index rises and falls, with a rising Kumo #W2.




Looking Forward into this Week:


Bearish Senoku Span Cross is active (
Its called a 'Neutral' Bearish cross, because it occurred when the index was on Neutral territory i.e inside the Kumo) #W2.

Bulls seek to keep the index inside the Kumo #W2,.
Bulls continue to need the Tenkan Sen support, for the next rise inside the Kumo #W2.


Wrap:
Bears push for a resumption of the down trend, after the Senoku Span Cross #W3.
Bulls seek life in the Kumo and a steady up-move W2 .

Saturday, December 5, 2015

Brent Crude Oil - Ichimoku Study - Testing Lows - Week 2 of December 2015.






Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click). 



Learning from the Earlier Study: 
(click here for the previous post)

Bulls again hold index to a higher low, after index tests the previous low #W2.

Gap between the Senkou Span A & B, narrows sharply #W3.
Gap between Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen, widens #W2.

Wrap: 

Bears bring the index to the last bottom for a retest, Index keeps the higher low #W2. 




Looking Forward into this Week:


Bulls hold the last low  #W2.

Gap between the Senkou Span A & B is wide at #W3 & above the last Price point, making a thick Kumo - and a strong resistance to an up-move, when we get there #W3.
Senoku Span A & B, headed for a cross or deflection with these lines getting closer #W1.


Wrap:

Returning after a Double Bottom, and taking out the Tenkan Sen #W2, is the next Bull plan.
Bears look to keep the index below the Tenkan Sen, and take out the previous low #W2.


Say....






Monday, November 30, 2015

US - S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Seeing Stars - Week 1 of December 2015.











Learning from last Week:  (click here for the previous post)


Patterns:
.
  • After the long green candle of the previous week, Bulls pause with a Doji  #W1.
Support & Resistance:
  • Index took support just above the 5 EMA on the Weekly Chart #W1 - it again failed to pierce the week Channel's bottom (orange) #W1.
Moving Averages:  
    • The 5 EMA and 13 SMA, on Monthly Screen look ready to cross bullishly, once the December candle is up - at current levels #M1.
    Indicators:
    • RSI 13, spikes above the 60% mark  #W2.  


    Wrap:
    Bears keep the index below the Week Channel bottom (orange) #W1.
    Undecided Bulls produce a doji #W1.




    Looking forward into this Week:

    Patterns:
    • The 'W' pattern on the Day Chart is still active (Study Links herehere or elsewhere) #D1.
    • The Doji on the Medium Term screen can trigger an Evening Doji Star (Study Links herehere or elsewhere) #W1. 
    Support & Resistance: 
    • 200 SMA on the day chart, is now the Index support, that Bears want to get below. Index Resistance is the Week Channel's Bottom line (orange) #W1,
    Moving Averages:
    • Death Cross on the EOD, is active as long as the 50 SMA and the 200 SMA stay crossed Bearishly (Study Links herehere or elsewhere) #D1,
    Indicators:
    • STS back to the oversold #W2.


    Wrap:

    Bulls continue to See rewards in the big 'W' pattern #D1, with a breakout from the ATH #M1.

    Bears want to use the resistance at the Week Channel bottom (orange) #W1 to produce an Evening Doji Star #D1.



    Europe - CAC 40 - Ichimoku Study - Kumo zone - Week 1 of December 2015.






    Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click). 


    Learning from the Earlier Study: 
    (click here for the previous post)

    Bulls stay above of the Kumo, Chikou Span stays below the Price line #W1. 
    Index again takes support near the Kijun Sen #W2, to make this up move.
    Senoku Span A & B, steady #W3.

    Wrap: 
    Bulls have another green week even as Index stays above the Kumo #W2.
    Bears keep the Chikou Span, below the Price line #W1.


    Looking Forward into this Week:


    Chikou Span crossing above the Price line, is the current Bull ask #W1.
    Index is now vacillating in and out of the Kumo, Bulls now have support at the Senoku Span A (4848)  #W2.
    Cross of the Senoku Span A & B is the next event, that the Bears hope for #W3.

    Wrap:

    Bears look to get the index back in the Kumo and below the Kijun Sen #W2.
    Bulls seek stay above the Kumo and get the Chikou Span to clear the Price line #W2.