Brent Crude Oil - Ichimoku Study - Throwback 2 - Week 4 of October 2015.

Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click). 

Learning from the Earlier Study: (click here for the previous post)

Index throwback to support continues for the second week #W2.
Chikou Span points away from the Price line again #W1.
Gap between the Senkou Span A & B,  wide and steady #W3.
Gap between Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen, steady #W2.


Wrap: 
Bulls, after knocking out the Tenkan Sen with a sharp breakout previously - return as in a Throwback #W2. 
Bears manage two big red candles, as a result of the above #W2.


Looking Forward into this Week:

Chikou Span reaching the Price line looks likely in a few weeks, at current rate, this is good for Bulls #W1.
Gap between the Senkou Span A & B is wide at #W3 & above the last Price point, making a thick Kumo - and a strong resistance to an up-move, when we get there #W3.
Index staying above the 'Tenkan Sen' zone, and cracking the Kijun Sen is what the Bulls aim for #W2.


Wrap:
Resuming the up-move after the Throwback #W2, and taking out the Kijun Sen is the next Bull ask.
Bears look to keep the index below the Tenkan Sen, failing which, keep it well below the Kijun Sen #W1.

Say....

US - S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - 'W' Continues. - Week 3 of October 2015.

Learning from last Week:  (click here for the previous post)

Patterns:

• 'W' pattern on the EOD chart firms up further #D1.
• On the Medium Term Screen, Index is seen on a 'Pull back' to the Week Channel's (orange) bottom line #W1.

Support & Resistance:

• Index took support at the 50 SMA on the Day Chart all week #D1 - it was resisted near the MVWAP35 on the Weekly Charts #W1.

Moving Averages:  

• The 5 EMA and 13 SMA, on the Month screen are Crossed Bearishly #M1.

Indicators:

• RSI 13, after lift off, from the oversold line, almost at the 50% mark #W2.  

Wrap:

Bulls hammer their way to above the 2K mark.
Bears stop the index near the weekly MVWAP35 #W1.

Looking forward into this Week:

Patterns:

• Pullback to Channel Bottom (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) #W1 and 'W' on the Day Chart are active (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) #D1.
• Both seem to be headed for a confluence, around the same target area on the chart.

Support & Resistance: 

• MVWAP35 on the long term screen #M1 (once again) is the support that Bulls want to stay above. Index has resistance at the 200 SMA on the Day chart #D1. 
• The 5 EMA and 13 SMA, on the Month screen will cross Bullishly if the index closes above 2161 #M1.

Moving Averages:

• Death Cross on the EOD, is active as long as the 50 SMA and the 200 SMA stay crossed Bearishly (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) #D1,

Indicators:

• STS is Oversold #W2.

Wrap:

Bulls push to reach the target for a big 'W' pattern #D1.
Bears look to defend 2161 and retain control of the long term screen #M1.

Europe - CAC 40 - Ichimoku Study - Kumo Pause - Week 3 of October 2015.

Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click). 

Learning from the Earlier Study: (click here for the previous post)

Index consolidates after the long green candle spanning the Senoku Span A and B  #W2.

Chikou Span after the massive bounce off support at the Kijun Sen, also makes a pause #W1. 
Gap between Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen, widens as they enter the Kumo #W2.

Wrap: 

Bulls hold the highs of the previous long green week #W2.

Bears Defend the Kumo Top #W2.

Looking Forward into this Week:

Index making a Kumo Breakout, is the next Bull hope #W2.
Chikou Span is crossed  below the Price line (Its called a 'Weak Bearish cross because it occurred when the index was Bullish i.e above the Kumo) and it has found support at the Kijun Sen #W1.

Cross of the Senoku Span A & B is the next event the Bears hope for #W3.

Wrap:

Bulls still have momentum inside the Kumo, staying above the Tenkan Sen #W2.
Bears aim to send the index below the Kumo, with a Bearish Cross of the Senoku Span A & B #W2.

India - CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Doji - Week 3 of October 2015.

Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)

Patterns:

• Marubozo on the Week Charts produces a Doji Last week #W1.

Support & Resistance:

• Bulls came up from below to pip the previous week's High, but closed below it. #W1, Daily 50 SMA was support #D1.

Moving Averages: 

• The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA, at touch point, to cross Bullishly or deflect Bearishly on the Week charts  #W1.

Indicators:

• On the Day chart the  MACD and its MA stay above the zero line, Histogram ticks down #M2.

Wrap:

Bulls come back from below to make a higher close and take control of the Day and Week screens #D1, #W1. 
Bears manage manage a Doji for the Week #W1.

Looking Forward into this Week:

Patterns:

• High Wave Candle on the Month Chart is active (Study Links here, here or elsewhere).

Support & Resistance:

• Support continues at  at 8040, the 76.4% Fibonacci retrace of the '2011 low' to the 'ATH'  #W1.Resistance at 8404, the monthly 13 SMA #M1.

Moving Averages: 

• The Death Cross (50 and 200 SMA) is active, these MAs are now steady #D1.
• The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA, will cross Bullishly on the Week charts if this week closes above 8224 #W1.

Indicators:

• The STS, crossing below its MA, is the first sign of cheer for Bears #W2.

Wrap :

Bulls seek to drive up to 8404, with the momentum in hand #W1.
Bears wish for life below 8224 this week, to help them get below support #W1.