Monday, November 16, 2015

Europe - CAC 40 - Ichimoku Study - Kumo Life - Week 3 of November 2015.






Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click). 


Learning from the Earlier Study: 
(click here for the previous post)


Chikou Span's hesitation at the Price line, defeats the Bull up-move #W1. 
Index takes support near the Tenkan Sen #W2, after slipping into the Kumo.
Senoku Span A & B, steady #W3.


Wrap: 

Chikou Span turns back from the Price line - Bears back in the game #W2.
Bulls halt the fall above the Tenkan Sen #W2.


Looking Forward into this Week:


Chikou Span staying away from the Price line, is the current Bear ask #W1.
Index is now on neutral territory, in the Kumo  #W2.
Cross of the Senoku Span A & B is the next event, that the Bears hope for #W3.


Wrap:

Bears look to keep it in the Kumo and get below the Kijun Sen #W2.
Bulls seek to defend the Kijun Sen and get the Chikou Span moving towards the Price line again #W2.


India - CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - High Wave - Week 3 of November 2015.












Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)

Patterns:
  • Bears slip below the Day Channel's Middle Line (blue), but fail to take out our fallback level 7707.
  • High Wave candle forms on the Medium Term Chart #W1.
Support & Resistance:
  • Last week the Bulls found support near the Month Pivot's S2 #M1Bears used 7900 and the Channel Middle line. as resistance to send the index down #M1.
Moving Averages: 
  • The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA, have crossed bearishly on the Week charts #W1.
Indicators:
  • On the Day chart the  MACD and its MA, along with the Histogram, stay below zero #M2.

Wrap:

Bulls take support near our fallback level 7707 and just below the Channel Middle #D1. 
Bears almost dominate all 3 screens.





Looking Forward into this Week:

Patterns:
  • Shooting Star, is active (Study Links herehere or elsewhere) on the Long Term Screen #M1.
  • High Wave, is active (Study Links herehere or elsewhere) on the Medium Term Screen #W1.
Support & Resistance:
  • Index has immediate support at 7707. Resistance is at 8040, the 76.4% Fibonacci retrace of the '2011 low' to the 'ATH'  #W1.
Moving Averages: 
  • The Death Cross (50 and 200 SMA) is active, these MAs are now Bullishly Converging (needs watching) #D1.
  • The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA, will cross back Bullishly, on the Week charts if this week closes above 8008 #W1.
Indicators:
  • The TRD, holding above the 38.6% retrace is the next Bull hope #M2.


Wrap :
Holding 7707 for the week, Bulls look to fight back to the Day channel top #D1.
Bears hunt for life below 7707 #M1, and clear domination of all screens.



Saturday, November 14, 2015

China - SSEC - Ichimoku Study - Kumo reists - Week 3 of November 2015.







Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click). 


Learning from the Earlier Study: 
(click here for the previous post)


Index taking off from support at the Confluence of the Tenkan Sen and Senoku Span B, gets turned back at the Senoku Span A #W2.

Chikou Span stays above the Kijun Sen #W1.
Senkou Span A & B, stay crossed Bearishly and rise together #W3.

Wrap: 

Despite the bearish Senkou Span cross, Index moves above the Tenkan Sen, while in the Kumo #W3.
Bears restrict the rise, to just inside the Kumo #W2.




Looking Forward into this Week:


Bearish Senoku Span Cross is active (
Its called a 'Neutral' Bearish cross, because it occurred when the index was on Neutral territory i.e inside the Kumo) #W2.

Bears seek to keep the index inside the Kumo #W2,.
Bulls see the Chikou Span's action and Tenkan Sen support, as a vote to break out of the Kumo #W1 & #W2.

Wrap:
Bears push for a resumption of the down trend, after the Senoku Span Cross #W3.
Bulls seek life above the Kumo after this consolidation and up-move W2 .

Brent Crude Oil - Ichimoku Study - Double Bottoms - Week 3 of November 2015.






Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click). 



Learning from the Earlier Study: 
(click here for the previous post)

Bears take the index deeper down, towards the last bottom #W2.

Chikou Span points down with last week's red on the screen #W1.
Gap between the Senkou Span A & B, steady #W3.
Gap between Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen, reduces #W2.


Wrap: 

Bears holding the advantage, move the index towards the last bottom for a retest #W2. 




Looking Forward into this Week:


Tenkan Sen going up and crossing, to above the Kijun Sen is something the Bulls look forward to #W2.
Gap between the Senkou Span A & B is wide at #W3 & above the last Price point, making a thick Kumo - and a strong resistance to an up-move, when we get there #W3.
Chikou Span deflecting off the Price line earlier, now gives good gains to the Bears #W1.


Wrap:

Returning after a Double Bottom, and taking out the Tenkan Sen #W2, is the next Bull hope.
Bears look to keep the index below the Tenkan Sen, and keep seeking deeper levels.



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