Saturday, July 26, 2014
Say ...
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Monday, July 21, 2014
S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Bull 1975 - Week 4 of July 2014.
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| S&P 500 - End of Month Chart (EOM) - Channel analyzing Data from mid 2009, onward - as on 18 July'14 |
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| S&P 500 - End of Week Chart (EOW) - Channel analyzing Data from Aug'2011 onward - as on 18 July'14 |
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| S&P 500 - End of Day Chart (EOD) - Channel analyzing Data from Jan'14, onward - as on 18 July'14 |
Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)
Patterns:
- Bearish Harami seen last week fails to evolve into a Three inside Down #W1.
- Last two candles on the EOW form a Bullish Harami #W1.
Support & Resistance:
- Once again the ATH (All Time High) was resistance zone and the 5 EMA (weekly) was support zone #W1.
Moving Averages:
- The 5 EMA and 13 SMA, after deflecting Bullishly last week once again touch on the EOD #D1.
Indicators:
- RSI 13 stays in the over bought #W2.
- TSI continues holding above its crucial Fibonacci level #M2.
Wrap:
Bulls retain control of all Screens - Bears fail to close below the weekly 5 EMA #W1.
Looking forward into this Week:
Patterns:
Support & Resistance:
- 5 EMA on the EOW #W1 at a Index reading of 1966 is support for the week, while the ATH is resistance.
Moving Averages:
- The 5 EMA and 13 SMA, poised to cross bearishly on the EOD #D1 - if the next Day candle Closes below 1975.
Indicators:
- Stochastic 34 3 4, staying back in the over-bought zone, works for the Bulls #D2.
Wrap:
Bulls seek to go above the last ATH i.e. 1986 - Bears want to hold below 1975 and crack 1966 on the downside #W1.
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The Dow Jones - Ichimoku Study - Bull High - Week 4 of July 2014.
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| Dow 30 - End of Week Chart (EOW) - Analyzing 18 Month's Data - as on 18 July'14 |
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the earlier Study: (click here for the post)
Bulls take off from where they left off last week to make a new ATH #W2.
Gap between Tenkan Sen - Kijun Sen steady #W2.
Gap between Senoku Span A-B steady #W3.
Wrap: Bulls use the take off from Tenkan Sen to make a new ATH #W2.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Keeping above the Tenkan Sen - Bulls continue to hunt for new ATHs #W2.
Bearish Cross or Bullish Deflection of Tenkan Sen & Kijun Sen, would continue to show direction going forward #W2.
Bulls wary of the Chikou span bearishly crossing the Price line #W1.
Wrap: Bulls look to make new ATHs above the Tenkan Sen, Bears want life below the Tenkan Sen after 13+ weeks #W2.
Labels:
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DJI 30,
Dow Jones Industrial Average,
EOW,
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CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Deuce - Week 4 of July 2014.
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| Nifty 50 - End of Month (EOM) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from 2008 onward - as on 18 July'14 |
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| Nifty 50: Medium Term View (or) EOW Chart (or) Week Chart - each candle is 1 week's price action |
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| Nifty 50 - End of Day (EOD) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Feb'2014, onward - as on 18 July'14 |
Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)
Patterns:
- Last week's Engulfing Pattern does not mutate into a Three Outside Down #W1.
- Last two candles on the Medium Term Chart make a Bullish Harami #W1.
- Index holding above the Daily 50 SMA, sails through the Wall (7494) to get the 5 EMA and 13 SMA to touch #D1.
Moving Averages:
- EOD VOLEMA dips, while price line rises, last few days #D2.
Indicators:
- MACD shows clear divergence with Price #D2.
Wrap:
Bulls hold all screens, while Bears produce a stalemate by preventing critical averages from crossing #D1.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Patterns:
- Bullish Harami Pattern on the Medium Term Screen is now active (Study links here, here or elsewhere).
- Bullish Harami Pattern turning into a Three Inside Up (Study links here, here or elsewhere), is the next Bull Hope #W1.
Support & Resistance:
- Bears will want to get back below the 5 EMA on the EOW (7567) #W1, while Bulls look to get above R1 on the Month Pivot #D1.
Moving Averages:
Indicators:
- MACD divergence to Price look good for Bears, while the MACD crossing above its MA helps Bull cause #D2.
Wrap:
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BSE Sensex - Ichimoku Study - Bear Hold - Week 4 of July 2014.
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| BSE 30 - End of Week Chart (EOW) - Analyzing 18 Month's Data - as on 18 July'14 |
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the Earlier Study: (click here for the post)
Bull pull back fails to take the Tenkan Sen last week #W2.
Senkou Span A & B - gap flares up #W3.
Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen gap also up #W2
Wrap: Bears succeed in keep index below Tenkan Sen #W2.
Looking Forward into this Week:
The Chikou Span, keeping current altitude, will need a few months to meet the price-line #W1.
Bulls want to stay above recent lows and get back above the Tenkan Sen #W2.
Wrap: Bears look to keep index below the Tenkan sen, Bull focus is to stay above recent lows and make it above the Tenkan Sen #W2.
Labels:
BSE,
Charts,
Chikou Span,
EOW,
Flat,
Gravity,
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo,
India,
Kijun Sen,
Kumo,
S&P,
Senkou Span,
Sensex,
Technical Analysis,
Tenkan Sen,
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