Saturday, January 30, 2016
Monday, January 25, 2016
US - S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Pin bar - Week 4 of January 2016.
Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous `post)
Patterns:.
- More rewards from the 'Three inside down' pattern on the Weekly charts for the Bears as new lows are made #W1.
- Bulls lock in above the '23.6% Fibonacci retrace from the ATH to the March 2011 low' with a green pin bar #W1.
Support & Resistance:
- Index was resisted by the 13 SMA on the Day Screen #D1. Support was above the '23.6% Fibonacci retrace from the ATH to the 2008 (blue) low' #M1.
Moving Averages:
- The 5 EMA on all Screens stay crossed bearishly below the 13 SMA on all screens.
Indicators:
- RSI 13, in the 30s #W2.
Wrap:
Bulls close the week above the '23.6% Fibonacci retrace from the ATH to the March 2011 low' with a green pin bar #W1.
Bears prove a point, making a lower high (earlier) and a lower low (now) #W1.Looking forward into this Week:
- 50 SMA on the Monthly chart is the next major support #M1. The 5 EMA on the Week Charts (1944) is likely resistance #D1,
- The 5 EMA on the Monthly Screen will cross bullishly above the 13 SMA, only if the index closes above 2070 this month #M1.
Indicators:
- STS stays in the oversold #D2.
Wrap:
Bulls after kick off upwards, from support at the '23.6% Fibonacci retrace from the ATH to the March 2011 low', seek more green with some help from the 'pin bar' #W1.
Bears look to enforce a lower low with the momentum from the 'Three inside down' pattern.
India - CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Morning Star ? - Week 4 of January 2016.
- Inverted Hammer of the previous week, is followed by a long legged doji, which also gaps down #W1.
- Bears again use the 'Three White Soldiers pattern to good effect #W1.
Support & Resistance:
- Index closed at S2 of the Month pivot. Resistance was at the daily 5 EMA #D1. Index came back from below the support at 7367, the '61.8% retrace of the 2010 low to the ATH' #W1.
Moving Averages:
- The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA, stay deflected bearishly on all three Charts..
Indicators:
- On the week charts the STS #W1, is deep in the over sold zone.
Wrap:
Earlier the Bears touched 7367, with an active 'Three White Soldiers' pattern in play #/W1.
Looking Forward into this Week:
- 'Three White Soilders' pattern (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) is active on the Medium Term Chart #W1.
- The Last candle on the week chart is a Long Legged Doji (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) whose body shows a clear gap down #W1.
- Possibility of a Morning Star Pattern (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) forming exists #W1.
Support & Resistance:
- Index has immediate resistance at 7494 the 76.4% retrace of the 2008 low to the ATH #M1 and then at the Weekly Channel bottom #W1.
- Support is S2 of the Month pivot and later at the Daily Channel bottom #D1.
Moving Averages:
- The Death Cross (50 and 200 SMA) is active D1.
Indicators:
- The MACD is below the zero line #D2.
Wrap :
Bulls pray for a pullback to Week Channel Bottom #W1.
Bears eye life around the day channel bottom #D1.Brent Crude Oil - Ichimoku Study - Pause and Bounce - Week 4 of January 2016.
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the Earlier Study: (click here for the previous post)
Bulls enforce a pause in the fall with a strong green candle #W2.
Gap between the Senkou Span A & B, steady #W3.
Gap between Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen, steady #W2.
Wrap:
Index still below the Tenkan Sen, Bulls make a strong pause and bounce.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Chikou Span is a long way from the price line #W2.
Senkou Span A & B crossing or deflecting helps the Bull or Bear Causes respectively #W3.
Some more green, to let the Tenkan Sen catch up, is the next event the Bulls long for #W2.
Wrap:
Bears look to keep the index below the Tenkan Sen, and make some lower lows #W2.
Folow up to this bounce with a bullish cross of the Tenkan Sen #W2, is the next Bull hope.
Labels:
Brent,
Charts,
Chikou Span,
Crude,
EOW,
Flat,
Gravity,
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo,
Kijun Sen,
Kumo,
Oil,
Senkou Span,
Sensex,
Technical Analysis,
Tenkan Sen,
Week,
Weekly
Saturday, January 23, 2016
Tuesday, January 19, 2016
US - S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Channels and Fibonacci - Week 3 of January 2016.
Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous `post)
Patterns:.
- 'Three inside down' pattern on the Weekly charts, works for the Bears #W1.
- Index in and around Channel Bottoms on the Week and Day Screens #W1 and #D1.
Support & Resistance:
- Index was resisted by the 5 EMA on the Day Screen #D1. Support was at the '23.6% Fibonacci retrace from the ATH to the March 2011 low' #W1.
Moving Averages:
- The 5 EMA on the Month Screen stays deflected bearishly below the 13 SMA #M1.
Indicators:
- RSI 13, in the 30s #W2.
Wrap:
Bulls hold the fall near the '23.6% Fibonacci retrace from the ATH to the March 2011 low' #W1.
Bears keep the index below the 5 EMA on the Day Chart all week #D1.Looking forward into this Week:
- 50 SMA on the Monthly chart is the next major support #M1. The 5 EMA on the Week Charts (1963) is likely resistance #D1,
- The 5 EMA on the Monthly Screen will cross bullishly above the 13 SMA, only if the index closes above 2070 this month #M1.
Indicators:
- STS stays in the oversold #D2.
Wrap:
Bulls hope to kick off upwards, from the '23.6% Fibonacci retrace from the ATH to the March 2011 low' #W1.
Bears look to keep moving down and squeeze some more rewards from the 'Three inside down' pattern.
Labels:
Beginners,
candlestick,
channel,
Fibonacci,
market Wisdom,
Oscillators,
resistance,
RSI,
SP 500,
Stochastic,
support,
Technical Analysis,
Trading,
Trading discipline,
Trading methods,
trend
Monday, January 18, 2016
India - CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Channel Bottom action - Week 3 of January 2016.
- Bears start the week and stay, below the Weekly Channel bottom, making an inverted Hammer #W1.
- Bears use the 'Three White Soilders' pattern to good effect #W1.
Support & Resistance:
- Index closed below the 76.4% retrace of the 2008 low to the ATH #M1, on the last day of the week, support was S2 of the Month pivot. Resistance was at the daily 5 EMA #D1.
Moving Averages:
- The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA, stay deflected bearishly on the Week Chart #W1.
Indicators:
- On the week charts the STS #W1, is in the over sold zone.
Wrap:
Bears crash the index trough the Weekly Channel Bottom #W1, with an active 'Three White Soilders' pattern in play #/W1.
Looking Forward into this Week:
- 'Three White Soilders' pattern (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) is active on the Medium Term Chart #W1.
- The Last candle on the week chart is an Inverted Hammer (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) whose body shows a clear gap down #W1,
Support & Resistance:
- Index has immediate resistance at 7494 the 76.4% retrace of the 2008 low to the ATH #M1 and then at the Weekly Channel bottom #W1.
- Support is S2 of the Month pivot and later at the Daily Channel bottom #D1.
Moving Averages:
- The Death Cross (50 and 200 SMA) is active D1.
Indicators:
- The MACD is below the zero line #D2.
Wrap :
Bulls pray for a pullback to Week Channel Bottom #W1.
Bears hope to break below the day channel bottom #D1.
Labels:
200 SMA,
Beginners,
candlestick,
channel,
Fibonacci,
MACD,
market Wisdom,
Nifty 50,
Oscillators,
resistance,
support,
Technical Analysis,
Trading discipline,
Trading methods,
trend,
triple screen
Brent Crude Oil - Ichimoku Study - Pause? - Week 3 of January 2016.
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the Earlier Study: (click here for the previous post)
Bulls fold again with another long red candle, bears make a lower low #W2.
Gap between the Senkou Span A & B, increases #W3.
Gap between Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen, steady #W2.
Wrap:
Index dives again below the Tenkan Sen and makes aother lower low.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Chikou Span is a long way from the price line #W2.
Senkou Span A & B crossing or deflecting helps the Bull or Bear Causes respectively #W3.
A pause to let the Tenkan Sen catch up is the next event favoring the Bulls #W2.
Wrap:
Bears look to keep the index below the Tenkan Sen, and make some lower lows #W2.
An oversold bounce or a bullish cross of the Tenkan Sen #W2, is the next Bull hope.
Labels:
Brent,
Charts,
Chikou Span,
Crude,
EOW,
Flat,
Gravity,
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo,
Kijun Sen,
Kumo,
Oil,
Senkou Span,
Sensex,
Technical Analysis,
Tenkan Sen,
Week,
Weekly
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