Tuesday, January 27, 2015
CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Bullish Engulfing? - Week 5 of January 2015.
Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)
Patterns:
- November and December 2014 candles on Month screen #M1, formed a 'Bearish Engulfing' which failed to make make it to a 'Three Outside Down' as of now #M1.
- Bulls pull index up to a new ATH this month, engulfing the December 2014 candle as of now #M1.
- Index closes above all the MAs that we track.
- Bulls approaches the R2 on the month pivot #M1.
Moving Averages:
- The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the EOW, cross Bullishly #D1.
Indicators:
- STS stays in the over bought #W2.
Wrap:
Bulls after keeping above our mark of 8283 early in the month, breakout to make new ATH - Bears are now defending the new ATH or R2 on the Month Pivot #M1.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Patterns:
- 'Bearish Engulfing' on the Monthly Charts becoming a 'Three Outside Down', is now as remote, as that of January closing below 8283 (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) #M1.
- 'Bullish Engulfing' of January Candle over December 2014 (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) is on, if this month's candle closes above 8606 #M1.
Support & Resistance:
- Index resistances that the Bulls would want to get above this week, are the current ATH (8866) and R2 on the Monthly Pivot #M1
- Support Levels that the Bears would love to get below, are 8606 and 8283.
Moving Averages:
Indicators:
- STS, moving below the overbought, would pause the 3+ quarter long, Bull domination of the Medium and Long Term Screens #W2.
Wrap :
Staying above 8606, Bulls look to carry on into the next month with strength #M1.Bears need to pick up the fight afresh, with a move below the 5 EMA on the EOD #D1.
Labels:
200 SMA,
Beginners,
candlestick,
channel,
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BSE Sensex - Ichimoku Study - Tenkan Sen to Breakout - Week 5 of January 2015.
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the Earlier Study: (click here for the post)
Index after breaking out above the Tenkan Sen and moving above the previous high, strikes out a new ATH #W2.
Senkou Span A & B - gap steadies #W3.
The gap between Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen steadies #W2
Wrap: Index breaks out, from the range, around the Tenkan Sen and the Kijun Sen #W2
Looking Forward into this Week:
Senkou Span 'A & B' converging will be bad for the Bulls #W3.
A Bearish, Chikou Span cross with Price line, at current altitude, will need a few more months #W1.
Bears seek to get the Kijun Sen above the Tenkan Sen and take out the last Index low #W2.
Wrap: Bulls Seek new All Time Highs, whereas Bears look at moving the index below the 'Tenkan Sen - Kijun Sen' range #W2.
Labels:
BSE,
Charts,
Chikou Span,
EOW,
Flat,
Gravity,
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo,
India,
Kijun Sen,
Kumo,
S&P,
Senkou Span,
Sensex,
Technical Analysis,
Tenkan Sen,
Week,
Weekly
Monday, January 26, 2015
S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Long Term 3 Inside Down (just on) - Week 5 of January 2015.
- Bear hope up, after November and December Candles form Bearish Harami. Last three Monthly Candles now make a 'Three Inside Down' - for now - #M1.
- Possibility of a Stick Sandwich Pattern on the EOW Charts #W1.
Support & Resistance:
- Bears close the index below our marks of 2062 or 2059 last week - Bulls close the index above all the MAs that we track on the screens above.
Moving Averages:
- 5 EMA and 13 SMA, on the medium term screen, edges into a mild Bearish Cross, as Index fails to make 2062 #W1.
Indicators:
- RSI 13 in the 60s #W2.
Wrap:
Bears maintain hopes of a Long Term Three Inside Down by closing marginally below 2059 #D1.
Bulls make it above all the MAs that we track.
Looking forward into this Week:
Patterns:
- Bearish Harami is now active on the Long Term Screen and could trigger a 'Three Inside Down' #M1 (Study Links here, here or elsewhere).
- Stick Sandwich Pattern (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) could activate if, the current week, closes around the close, of the week before last week #W1.
Support & Resistance:
- 13 SMA on the EOW (2051) #W1 and the Monthly 5 EMA (2023), are supports the Bulls look to keep above, this week.
- 2065 and 2059 are resistance for the index, which Bears would want to stay below
- The 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the Medium Term Charts stay crossed bearishly as long as the index is below 2065 #W1.
Indicators:
- TSI, staying above the 76.4% Fibonacci retrace , keeps the Bull Hope up #M2.
Wrap:
Bulls seek to deny the Bears a Long Term 'Three Inside Down' by reaching & staying above 2059 #M1.
Bears look to get below the last low on the EOD, and crack the 200 SMA #D1.
Bears look to get below the last low on the EOD, and crack the 200 SMA #D1.
Labels:
Beginners,
candlestick,
channel,
Fibonacci,
market Wisdom,
Oscillators,
resistance,
RSI,
SP 500,
Stochastic,
support,
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Trading discipline,
Trading methods,
trend
The Dow Jones - Ichimoku Study - Tenkan Sen Again - Week 5 of January 2015.
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the earlier Study: (click here for the post)
Index ranges in last week's space and closes the week just above the Tenkan Sen #W2.
Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen flat and gap steady #W2.
Senoku Span A & B gap flat #W3.
Wrap: Bulls close above the Tenkan Sen after a repeat dive towards the Kijun Sen #W2.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Bears aim for a journey back to the Kumo, with a close below the Tenkan Sen to start with #W2.
Bearish Cross of Tenkan Sen & Kijun Sen, at current range, next on Bear Agenda #W2.
Chikou Span Cross/Deflection of the Index can show direction going forward #W2.
Wrap: Bulls look to keep above the Tenkan Sen, the Bear's target life below the Tenkan Sen Sen #W2. Both look to break out of the current range.
Labels:
Charts,
Chikou Span,
DJI 30,
Dow Jones Industrial Average,
EOW,
Flat,
Gravity,
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo,
Kijun Sen,
Kumo,
Senkou Span,
Technical Analysis,
Tenkan Sen,
US,
Week,
Weekly
Saturday, January 24, 2015
Say ...
Labels:
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Monday, January 19, 2015
S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Long Term 3 Inside Down (stays on) - Week 4 of January 2015.
- Bear hope up after November and December Candles form Bearish Harami. Last three Monthly Candles now make a 'Three Inside Down' - for now - #M1.
Support & Resistance:
- Bears keep the index below the 5 EMA on the EOM #M1 and MVWAP 34 on the EOD #D1, most of last week - Bulls hold above the 34 MVWAP on the Medium Term Screen #W1 and 200 SMA on the EOD #D1.
Moving Averages:
- 5 EMA and 13 SMA, on the medium term screen good for a Bullish Deflection or Bearish Cross #W1.
Indicators:
- RSI 13 in the 60s #W2.
Wrap:
Bears maintain hopes of a Long Term Three Inside Down by closing below 2059 #D1.
Bulls keep above the Short Term 200 SMA #D1.
Bulls keep above the Short Term 200 SMA #D1.
Looking forward into this Week:
Patterns:
- Broadening Top (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) seen on the Day Chart - follow up re-formed top - its bottom is near the Fibonacci 76.4% mark.
- Bearish Harami is now active on the Long Term Screen and could trigger a 'Three Inside Down' #M1 (Study Links here, here or elsewhere).
Support & Resistance:
- 13 SMA on the EOW (2048) #W1 and the Monthly 5 EMA (2023), are resistances the Bulls look to get above, this week.
- MVWAP 34 on the EOW #W1 and 200 SMA on the EOD #D1, are supports for the index, which Bears would want to break below
- The 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the Medium Term Charts stay crossed bearishly below as long as the index is below 2062 #W1.
Indicators:
- TSI, slipping below the 76.4% Fibonacci retrace by month end, gets Bull Hope down #M2.
Wrap:
Bulls seek to deny the Bears a Long Term 'Three Inside Down' by reaching & staying above 2059 #M1.
Bears look to get below last low on the EOD and crack the 200 SMA #D1.
Bears look to get below last low on the EOD and crack the 200 SMA #D1.
Labels:
Beginners,
candlestick,
channel,
Fibonacci,
market Wisdom,
Oscillators,
resistance,
RSI,
SP 500,
Stochastic,
support,
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Trading methods,
trend
The Dow Jones - Ichimoku Study - Tenkan Sen Falls - Week 4 of January 2015.
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the earlier Study: (click here for the post)
Index retests last week's low and closes the week just below the Tenkan Sen #W2.
Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen flat and gap steady #W2.
Senoku Span A & B gap flat #W3.
Wrap: Bulls fail to close above the Tenkan Sen after a repeat deep dive to near the Kijun Sen #W2.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Bears aim for a journey back to the Kumo, with a close below the Kijun Sen next #W2.
Bearish Cross of Tenkan Sen & Kijun Sen, at current range, next on Bear Agenda #W2.
Chikou Span Cross/Deflection of the Index can show direction going forward #W2.
Wrap: Bulls look to get back above the Tenkan Sen, the Bear's next target the Kjun Sen #W2.
Labels:
Charts,
Chikou Span,
DJI 30,
Dow Jones Industrial Average,
EOW,
Flat,
Gravity,
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo,
Kijun Sen,
Kumo,
Senkou Span,
Technical Analysis,
Tenkan Sen,
US,
Week,
Weekly
CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - 3 Outside Down stays unDone - Week 4 of January 2015.
Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)
Patterns:
- November and December 2014 candles on Month screen #M1, formed a 'Bearish Engulfing' with a month close at 8283 #M1. Index closed previous week at 8285.
- Last week Bulls pull index up to 8514, dampening the Bear hopes for a Three Outside down by month end #M1.
- Index closes above all the MAs that we track.
- Bulls peek above the Day Channel's blue mid-line #D1.
Moving Averages:
- The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the EOW, poised again for deflection or cross #D1.
Indicators:
- MACD and its MA break above the zero line #D2.
- STS stays in the over bought #W2.
Wrap:
Bulls after keeping above our mark of 8283 the previous week, breakout to control all three screens - Bears lose the advantage and are left defending the ATH or R1 on the Month Pivot #M1.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Patterns:
- 'Bearish Engulfing' on the Monthly Charts becomes a 'Three Outside Down', if January Closes below 8283 (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) #M1.
Support & Resistance:
- Index resistances that the Bulls would want to get above this week, are the previous ATH (8627) and R1 on the Monthly Pivot #M1
- Support Levels that the Bears would love to get below, are 8368 and the Wall for January (8174)
Moving Averages:
Indicators:
- STS, moving below the overbought, would pause the 3+ quarter long Bull domination of the Medium and Long Term Screens #W2.
Wrap :
Staying well above 8283, Bulls intend to deny the Bears the advantage, or a Long Term 'Three Outside Down' #M1.Bears see some action begin below 8368, with a shot at getting below the October'14, low on the EOD #D1.
Labels:
200 SMA,
Beginners,
candlestick,
channel,
Fibonacci,
MACD,
market Wisdom,
Nifty 50,
Oscillators,
resistance,
support,
Technical Analysis,
Trading discipline,
Trading methods,
trend,
triple screen
BSE Sensex - Ichimoku Study - Tenkan Sen Holds - Week 4 of January 2015.
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the Earlier Study: (click here for the post)
Index after breaking out above the Tenkan Sen, moves above the previous high #W2.
Senkou Span A & B - gap increases #W3.
The gap between Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen redices #W2
Wrap: Index edges up, out of the current range around the Tenkan Sen and the Kijun Sen #W2
Looking Forward into this Week:
Senkou Span 'A & B' converging will be bad for the Bulls #W3.
A Bearish, Chikou Span cross with Price line, at current altitude, will need a few more weeks #W1.
Bears seek to get the Kijun Sen above the Tenkan Sen and take out the last Index low #W2.
Wrap: Bulls Seek life above the last All Time High, whereas Bears look at moving the index below the current 'Tenkan Sen - Kijun Sen' range #W2.
Labels:
BSE,
Charts,
Chikou Span,
EOW,
Flat,
Gravity,
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo,
India,
Kijun Sen,
Kumo,
S&P,
Senkou Span,
Sensex,
Technical Analysis,
Tenkan Sen,
Week,
Weekly
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