Saturday, August 30, 2014
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Monday, August 25, 2014
S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Touch 'n gone up - Week 4 of August 2014.
S&P 500 - End of Month Chart (EOM) - Channel analyzing Data from mid 2009, onward - as on 22 Aug'14 |
S&P 500 - End of Week Chart (EOW) - Channel analyzing Data from Aug'2011 onward - as on 22 Aug'14 |
S&P 500 - End of Day Chart (EOD) - Channel analyzing Data from Jan'14, onward - as on 22 Aug'14 |
Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)
Patterns:
- Long Term Bullish Engulfing forming - see the last two Month candles #M1.
- Weekly candle shows up as a 'Opening White (Green in our chart) Marubozu' #W1.
Support & Resistance:
- Index pops out of old EOD channel - new channel leads to new ATH #D1.
- Index gets a Bullish cross of the 5 EMA and 13 SMA, on the EOW last week #W1.
- Bulls close the week above all the MAs we track on all screens.
Indicators:
- RSI 13 meanders in the 60s #W2.
- TSI under pressure. to continue holding, above its crucial Fibonacci level #M2.
Wrap:
Bears lose all screens, Bulls get to a new ATH.
Looking forward into this Week:
- EOD channel Top #D1 and the ATH are resistances.
- The meeting point for the Medium Term 5 EMA & 13 SMA (1955) #W1, is the support Bears need to break.
- The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the EOW, will stay on Bullish deflection course, if Index keeps above 1955, this week #W1.
Indicators:
- TSI holding above the Fibonacci level 76.4%, works for the Bulls #M2.
Wrap:
Bulls seek continued deflection of the 5 EMA and 13 SMA #W1, by keeping above 1955.
Bears hope to defend the EOD top line #D1.
Bears hope to defend the EOD top line #D1.
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The Dow Jones - Ichimoku Study - Bull Highs - Week 4 of August 2014.
Dow 30 - End of Week Chart (EOW) - Analyzing 24 Month's Data - as on 22 Aug'14 |
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the earlier Study: (click here for the post)
Saved by the Kijun Sen. Bulls clear the Tenkan Sen and head for the ATH #W2.
Gap between Tenkan Sen - Kijun Sen flat #W2.
Gap between Senoku Span A-B flat #W3.
Wrap: Bulls bouncing off the Kijun Sen head for the ATH #W2.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Keeping above the Tenkan Sen - Bulls look for new Highs again #W2.
Bearish Cross or Bullish Deflection of Tenkan Sen & Kijun Sen, would continue to show direction going forward #W2.
Chikou span reaches for the Highs #W1.
Wrap: Bulls want life above the ATH following the Chikou Span Deflection, Bears want to close this week below the Tenkan Sen #W2.
Labels:
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CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Bulls rock above the wall - Week 4 of August 2014.
Nifty 50 - End of Month (EOM) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from 2008 onward - as on 22 Aug'14 |
Nifty 50 - End of Week (EOW) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Mid 2011 onward - as on 22 Aug'14 |
Nifty 50 - End of Day (EOD) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Feb'2014, onward - as on 22 Aug'14 |
Patterns:
- Bulls slip Index above the August Wall. July Candle's High Wave effect, keeps the Bulls going #M1.
- Weekly 'Above the Stomach' Pattern, also gives the Bulls a boost #W1.
- Bulls keep above the 5 EMA on the EOD all week #D1.
- Bears defend the EOD channel top after Bulls make a new ATH #M1
Moving Averages:
- The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the EOD stay bullishly crossed to give Bulls continued dominance of all screens #D1.
Indicators:
- MACD and its MA are Bullishly Crossed #D2.
- STS below its resistance line - but remains in the over bought #W1.
Wrap:
Bulls dominate all screen and make a new High, Bears defend EOD channel top line #D1.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Patterns:
- July candle's High Wave effect (Study links here, here or elsewhere) is on #W1.
- The 'Above the Stomach' Pattern (Study links here, here or elsewhere) near the Highs, warrant a careful look #W1.
Support & Resistance:
- Bears seek to get &keep below the R1 of the Month Pivot (7895) #M1.
- Index faces resistance at the EOD channel top line #D1.
Moving Averages:
Indicators:
- STS slipping below the overbought, augers well for the Bears #W1.
Wrap:
Bulls look to defend the R1 of the Month Pivot #M1 and make new ATHs.Bears look to keep below the EOD channel top #D1.
Labels:
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BSE Sensex - Ichimoku Study - Bulls up - Week 4 of August 2014.
BSE 30 - End of Week Chart (EOW) - Analyzing 12 Month's Data - as on 22 Aug'14 |
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the Earlier Study: (click here for the post)
Bulls move up from recent lows and cross the Tenkan Sen #W2.
Senkou Span A & B - gap dips #W3.
Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen gap also dips #W2
Wrap: Bulls climb above Tenkan Sen #W2.
Looking Forward into this Week:
The Chikou Span, keeping current altitude, will need a couple of months to meet the price-line #W1.
Bears look to defend recent Highs #W2.
Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen gap narrowing favors the Bears #W2.
Wrap: Bears look to get the index below the Tenkan Sen and break recent lows , Bull focus is to keep above the Tenkan Sen to break the ATH #W2.
Labels:
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Saturday, August 23, 2014
Say ...
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Monday, August 18, 2014
S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Touch 'n go - Week 3 of August 2014.
Nifty 50 - End of Month (EOM) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from 2008 onward - as on 14 Aug'14 |
Nifty 50 - End of Week (EOW) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Mid 2011 onward - as on 14 Aug'14 |
Nifty 50 - End of Day (EOD) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Feb'2014, onward - as on 14 Aug'14 |
Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)
Patterns:
- Three Inside Up fails to form on the Weekly Charts #W1.
Support & Resistance:
- Index pops out of last week's EOD channel - new channel seen #D1.
- Index closes exactly at the 13 SMA (1955), just above the 5 EMA (1950) but fails to ensure a Bullish cross of the 5 EMA and 13 SMA, on the EOW (1957) last week #W1.
- The weekly 5 EMA and 13 SMA, continue to stay in 'Touch' - to cross bearishly or deflect bullishly #W1.
Indicators:
- RSI 13 meanders in the 60s #W2.
- TSI under pressure. to continue holding, above its crucial Fibonacci level #M2.
Wrap:
Bulls retake the Short Term Screen, Bears however keep Medium Term Screen in the neutral zone.
Looking forward into this Week:
- EOD channel Bottom and the monthly 5 EMA (1911) are the supports.
- The deflection point for the Medium Term 5 EMA & 13 SMA (1966) #W1, is resistance to beat, for the Bulls.
- The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the EOW, will stay on Bullish deflection course, if Index closes above 1966, this week #W1.
Indicators:
- TSI holding above the Fibonacci level 76.4%, works for the Bulls #M2.
Wrap:
Bulls seek deflection of the 5 EMA and 13 SMA #W1 continuing, by closing above 1966.
Bears would want to see the first monthly close below the 5 EMA (1911) after May 2012 #M1.
Bears would want to see the first monthly close below the 5 EMA (1911) after May 2012 #M1.
Labels:
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The Dow Jones - Ichimoku Study - Kijun Sen Save 2 - Week 3 of August 2014.
Dow 30 - End of Week Chart (EOW) - Analyzing 24 Month's Data - as on 15 Aug'14 |
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the earlier Study: (click here for the post)
Kijun Sen saves the Bulls for the second week running #W2.
Gap between Tenkan Sen - Kijun Sen decreases further #W2.
Gap between Senoku Span A-B increases #W3.
Wrap: Kijun Sen arrests the Index fall and saves the Bulls again #W2.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Keeping below the Tenkan Sen - Bears target the Kijun Sen again #W2.
Bearish Cross or Bullish Deflection of Tenkan Sen & Kijun Sen, would continue to show direction going forward #W2.
Chikou span deflecting off the Price line, augers well for Bulls #W1.
Wrap: Bulls want life above the Tenkan Sen following the Chikou Span Deflection, Bears want to close this week below the Kijun Sen #W2.
Labels:
Charts,
Chikou Span,
DJI 30,
Dow Jones Industrial Average,
EOW,
Flat,
Gravity,
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo,
Kijun Sen,
Kumo,
Senkou Span,
Technical Analysis,
Tenkan Sen,
US,
Week,
Weekly
CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Bulls slip above the wall - Week 3 of August 2014.
Nifty 50 - End of Month (EOM) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from 2008 onward - as on 14 Aug'14 |
Nifty 50 - End of Week (EOW) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Mid 2011 onward - as on 14 Aug'14 |
Nifty 50 - End of Day (EOD) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Feb'2014, onward - as on 14 Aug'14 |
Patterns:
- Bulls slip Index above the August Wall. July Candle's High Wave effect, gives the Bulls some joy #M1.
- Last two candles on the Weekly chart form a 'Above the Stomach' Pattern #W1.
- Bulls defending the Day Channel Bottom #D1. close above the 5 EMA on the EOW #W1.
- Bears fail to defend the August Pivot 7667 and give up the Wall 7721 #M1
Moving Averages:
- The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the EOD cross bullishly mid-week to give Bulls dominance of all screens #D1.
Indicators:
- MACD and its MA touch for a Bullish Cross - reflecting the recent Bull moves #D2.
- STS below its resistance line - but remains in the over bought #W1.
Wrap:
Bears lose control of the short term screen after index slips above the August Wall 7721 (Study), Bears defend recent Highs #W1.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Patterns:
- July candle's High Wave effect (Study links here, here or elsewhere) is on #W1.
- The 'Above the Stomach' Pattern (Study links here, here or elsewhere) near the Highs, warrant a careful look #W1.
Support & Resistance:
- Bears seek to get below the confluence of the 5 EMA on the EOW (7669) & Month Pivot (7667) #M1 - the current Index support #W1.
- Index faces resistance at the last ATH (7841).
Moving Averages:
Indicators:
- STS slipping below the overbought, augers well for the Bears #W1.
Wrap:
Bulls look to defend the Month Pivot #M1 and get above the ATH (7841) #M1.Bears look to get below the August Wall 7721 and break the EOD channel bottom #D1.
Labels:
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Beginners,
candlestick,
channel,
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Trading methods,
trend,
triple screen
BSE Sensex - Ichimoku Study - Bulls move up - Week 3 of August 2014.
BSE 30 - End of Week Chart (EOW) - Analyzing 12 Month's Data - as on 14 Aug'14 |
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the Earlier Study: (click here for the post)
Bulls move up from recent lows and cross the Tenkan Sen #W2.
Senkou Span A & B - gap dips #W3.
Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen gap also dips #W2
Wrap: Bulls climb above Tenkan Sen #W2.
Looking Forward into this Week:
The Chikou Span, keeping current altitude, will need a couple of months to meet the price-line #W1.
Bears look to defend recent Highs #W2.
Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen gap narrowing favors the Bears #W2.
Wrap: Bears look to get the index below the Tenkan Sen and break recent lows , Bull focus is to keep above the Tenkan Sen to break the ATH #W2.
Labels:
BSE,
Charts,
Chikou Span,
EOW,
Flat,
Gravity,
Ichimoku Kinko Hyo,
India,
Kijun Sen,
Kumo,
S&P,
Senkou Span,
Sensex,
Technical Analysis,
Tenkan Sen,
Week,
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