S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - At ATH Again - Week 4 of February 2014.

S&P 500 - End of  Month Chart (EOM) - Channel analyzing Data from mid 2009, onward - as on 21 Feb'14

S&P 500 - End of  Week Chart (EOW) - Channel analyzing Data from Aug'2011 onward - as on 21 Feb'14

S&P 500 - End of  Day Chart (EOD) -  Channel analyzing Data from Oct'2013, onward - as on 21 Feb'14

Learning from last Week:  (click here for the previous post)

Patterns:

• Bulls use the Hammer Candle at the bottom of the last dive to reach the ATH #W1. 
• Month Screen shows a 'Deliberation Candle Pattern - 3 green candles' followed by the Jan and Feb'14 candles #M1,
• Bearish Harami formed by the last two candles on the Weekly #W1,

Support & Resistance:

• Bulls keep it above the 13 SMA on the Week charts #W1 and hit out at the ATH intra-week. #D1.

Moving Averages:  

• On the Week Chart #W1 and Day Charts #D1, the 5 EMA stays bullishly crossed above the 13 SMA,  

Indicators:

• RSI 13, continues to meander in the 50s #W2 while the Stochastic keeps it to the over-bought  #D1

Wrap:

Bulls at the ATH again - Bears defend the ATH.

Looking forward into this Week:

Patterns:

• The 'Deliberation Candle Pattern' (Study link here, here or elsewhere) needs consideration #M1. 
• Weekly Bearish Harami's possible progression to a Three Inside Down worth a study (Study link here, here or elsewhere) #W1. 

Support & Resistance:

• MVWAP 34 on the Short Term Chart is now support for the Bulls, while the All Time High (ATH) #M1 is resistance.

Moving Averages:

• Bears need to get the index below the 13 SMA (1816) #W1 to get back into the game - Bulls look for a new ATH #M1.

Indicators:

• Stochastic 34 3 4, staying in the over-bought, works for the Bulls #D2.  

Wrap:

Bears target the 13 SMA #W1 (1816) - Bulls seek momentum to make a new ATH.

The Dow Jones - Ichimoku Study - Flatten to deceive ? - Week 4 of February 2014.

Dow 30 - End of  Week Chart (EOW) - Analyzing 24 Month's Data - as on 21 Feb'14

Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click). 



Learning from last Week: (click here for previous post)

Bulls after taking off above the Tenkan Sen consolidate #W2.
Senoku Span A & B flat #W3.
Gap between the Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen also flatten #W2.


Wrap: Index Consolidates #W2.




Looking Forward into this Week:

Senoku Span A & B flattening as also Tenkan Sen & Kijun Sen continues to indicate indecision #W3.
Bearish Cross or Bullish Deflection of Tenkan Sen & Kijun Sen, would show direction going forward $W2.


Wrap: Bulls look to stay above the Tenkan Sen - Bears want a bearish cross of the Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen #W2.

CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - High Wave effect - Week 4 of February 2014.

Nifty 50 - End of Month (EOM) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from 2008 onward - as on 21 Feb'14

Nifty 50 - End of  Week (EOW) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Mid 2011 onward - as on 21 Feb'14

Nifty 50 - End of  Day  (EOD) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Aug'2013, onward - as on 21 Feb'14

Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)

Patterns:

• December & January candles formed a 'Bearish Engulfing' #M1.
• The 'High Wave' candle keeps Bull and Bear guessing most of the week - Bulls make a sharp up move at week close #W1.

Support & Resistance:

• Index  closes above the February Wall (6076), Bears however defend the weekly 13 SMA #W1. Index is now stuck at the Month Pivot #D1.

Moving Averages:

• The medium term 5 EMA remains in a Bearish Cross with the 13 SMA #W1, even as in the short term these averages cross bullishly #D1. 

Indicators:

• STS slips below the Support line shown, which now becomes resistance line for Bulls #W2. 

Wrap:

Bulls gain the advantage closing above the Wall - Bears stay in the game defending the higher end of our range - 13 SMA Weekly #W1.

Looking Forward into this Week:

 

Patterns:

• Bearish 'Three Outside down' (Study link here, here or elsewhere) on the Long Term Chart #M1 fails to materialize, if February closes above January's close.   
• The 'High Wave' Candle on the Week Chart (Study link here, here or elsewhere) #W1 is active.. 

Support & Resistance:

• 13 SMA Weekly (6190), is immediate resistance for the week, while 5975 (76.4% Fibonacci Retrace of the Dec'2011 Low to ATH' ) #W1 and 200 SMA #D1 remain the current supports.
• Index needs to get unstuck from the Month Pivot #D1.

Moving Averages: 

• Golden Cross (study here, here or elsewhere) of the 50 & 200 SMA is on and steady even as index floats between them #D1.
• A Bullish cross of the 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the Week Charts gives the Bulls reason to celebrate at a Index reading of 6353 #W3.

Indicators:

• STS keeping below its support line, works for the Bears #W1, while the MACD crossing above the zero line, helps the Bulls #D2.

Wrap:

Bulls seek to celebrate at 6353 #W1 - Bears want life below the '76.4% Fibonacci Retrace of the Dec'2011 Low to ATH' (5975) #W1.

BSE Sensex - Ichimoku Study - Tenkan Sen Pipped - Week 4 of February 2014.

BSE 30 - End of  Week Chart (EOW) - Analyzing 12 Month's Data - as on 21 Feb'14

Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click). 



Learning from last Week: (click here for previous post)

Bulls peep above the Tenkan Sen  #W2.
Senkou Span A & B - flatten #W3.
Distance between Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen steady #W2
Chikou Span glides up in man's zone - avoiding a bearish cross #W1.  


Wrap: Index peeps above the Tenkan Sen #W2.




Looking Forward into this Week:

Chikou Span needs to climb some more to avoid a bearish cross with the Price Line in the next few weeks #W1.
Bears need to get below the Tenkan Sen to remain in the game #W2.
Flattening of Tenkan Sen, Kijun Sen and the Senkou Span A & B implies consolidation  #W2 #W3.


Wrap: Bears eye the Kumo  #W2. Bulls happy that the Chikou Span is above the Price line #W1.

Say ...

S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Bulls hammer up - Week 3 of February 2014.

S&P 500 - End of  Month Chart (EOM) - Channel analyzing Data from mid 2009, onward - as on 14 Feb'14

S&P 500 - End of  Week Chart (EOW) - Channel analyzing Data from Aug'2011 onward - as on 14 Feb'14

S&P 500 - End of  Day Chart (EOD) -  Channel analyzing Data from Oct'2013, onward - as on 14 Feb'14

Learning from last Week:  (click here for the previous post)

Patterns:

• Bulls use the Hammer Candle at the bottom of the dive to go green another week #W1. 
• Month Screen shows a 'Deliberation Candle Pattern - 3 green candles' followed by the Jan and Feb'14 candles #M1,

Support & Resistance:

• Desperate Bears fail to defend the 13 SMA on the Week charts #W1 - Bulls get fresh life above the MVWAP 34 #D1.

Moving Averages:  

• On the Week Chart #W1 and Day Charts #D1, the 5 EMA bullishly crosses above the 13 SMA,  

Indicators:

• RSI 13, meanders in the 50s #W2 while the Stochastic makes it to the over-bought  #D1

Wrap:

Bulls hammer two green weeks in a row - Bears lose hold of all 3 time-frames and look to the ATH for defense.

Looking forward into this Week:

Patterns:

• The 'Deliberation Candle Pattern' (Study link here, here or elsewhere) needs consideration #M1. 
• Week Chart's Hammer (Study link here, here or elsewhere) is still active #W1. 

Support & Resistance:

• MVWAP 34 on the Short Term Chart is now support for the Bulls, while the All Time High (ATH) #M1 is resistance.

Moving Averages:

• Bears need to get the index below the 13 SMA (1814) #W1 to get back into the game - Bulls want the a new ATH #M1.

Indicators:

• Stochastic 34 3 4, staying in the over-bought, works for the Bulls #D2.  

Wrap:

Bears desperately want to get the index back below the 13 SMA #W1 (1814) - Bulls seek momentum to make a new ATH ..

The Dow Jones - Ichimoku Study - Kijun Sen rewards - Week 3 of February 2014.

Dow 30 - End of  Week Chart (EOW) - Analyzing 24 Month's Data - as on 14 Feb'14

Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click). 



Learning from last Week: (click here for previous post)

Bulls closing above the Kijun Sen for the previous two weeks - get rewarded, with a take off above the Tenkan Sen #W2.,
Senoku Span A & B steady #W3.
Gap between the Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen steady #W2.


Wrap: Bulls use support at the Kijun Sen and take off #W2.




Looking Forward into this Week:

Senoku Span A & B flattening as also Tenkan Sen & Kijun Sen indicates indecision #W3.
Bearish Cross or Bullish Deflection of Tenkan Sen & Kijun Sen, would show direction going forward $W2.


Wrap: Bulls look to stay above the Tenkan Sen - Bears want a bearish cross of the Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen #W2.

CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - High Wave - Week 3 of February 2014.

Nifty 50 - End of Month (EOM) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from 2008 onward - as on 14 Feb'14

Nifty 50 - End of  Week (EOW) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Mid 2011 onward - as on 14 Feb'14

Nifty 50 - End of  Day  (EOD) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Aug'2013, onward - as on 14 Feb'14

Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)

Patterns:

• December & January candles formed a 'Bearish Engulfing' #M1.
• The EOW gives us a 'High Wave' candle last week #W1. 

Support & Resistance:

• Index again closes below the February Wall (6076), Bulls again defend 5975 (76.4% Fibonacci Retrace of the 'Dec 2011' Low to ATH ) #W1 to close the week just below the Wall.

Moving Averages:

• The medium term 5 EMA remains in a Bearish Cross with the 13 SMA #W1, even as in the short term these averages 'meet up' for a cross or deflection #D1. 

Indicators:

• STS slips below the Support line shown, which now becomes resistance line for Bulls #W2. 

Wrap:

Bears dominate the medium term charts during the week - Bulls regain the short term just at week close.

Looking Forward into this Week:

 

Patterns:

• Bearish 'Three Outside down' (Study link here, here or elsewhere) on the Long Term Chart #M1 fails to materialize, if February closes above January's close.   
• Bearish 'Three Outside down' (Study link here, here or elsewhere) on the Medium Term Chart, #W1 is on hold due to the 'High Wave' Candle's (Study link here, here or elsewhere) appearance. 

Support & Resistance:

• 13 SMA Weekly (6191), is resistance for the week, while 5975 (76.4% Fibonacci Retrace of the Last Major Low to ATH' ) #W1 and 200 SMA #D1 remain the current supports.

Moving Averages: 

• Golden Cross (study here, here or elsewhere) of the 50 & 200 SMA giving way as the two SMAs start to converge #D1. 

Indicators:

• STS keeping below its support line, works for the Bears #W1, while the MACD crossing above its MA, helps the Bulls #D2.

Wrap:

Bulls seek to get above the Wall and target the 13 SMA #W1 - Bears next need to get below the '76.4% Fibonacci Retrace of the Last Major Low to ATH' (5975) #W1.

BSE Sensex - Ichimoku Study - Chikou Span Slide 2 - Week 3 of February 2014.

BSE 30 - End of  Week Chart (EOW) - Analyzing 12 Month's Data - as on 14 Feb'14

Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click). 



Learning from last Week: (click here for previous post)

Bulls stay below the Tenkan Sen  #W2.
Senkou Span A & B - converge #W3.
Distance between Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen contracts #W2
Chikou Span slides still in no man's zone - avoiding a bearish cross #W1.  


Wrap: Index stays between the Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen #W2.




Looking Forward into this Week:

Chikou Span needs to cover some ground to meet the Price Line in the next few weeks - thus postponing a bearish cross #W1.
Bears need to stay below the Tenkan Sen to remain in the game #W2.
Convergence of Tenkan Sen, Kijun Sen and the Senkou Span A & B favors Bears  #W2 #W3.


Wrap: Bears eye the Kumo  #W2. Bulls comfort is in the Chikou Span staying above the Price line #W1.

Say ...