Sunday, June 30, 2013

CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Week: 24 June to 28 June: 2013 - Bulls find support




Nifty 50 - End of Month (EOM) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from 2008 onward - as on 28 June'13



Nifty 50 - End of  Week (EOW) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Mid 2011 onward - as on 28 June'13




Nifty 50 - End of  Day  (EOD) Chart - Channel analyzing Data from Nov' 2012, onward - as on 28 June'13




Learning from the Past Week: (click here for the post)


Patterns:

Support & Resistance:
  • Day Channel perfectly catches the Bears and sends the Bulls to the channel top #5.
  • The 61.8% Fibonacci retrace of the 'Jan'12 low to All time high' was support zone #5.
  • Week Channel's Middle Blue line was resistance last week #3.

Moving Averages:
  • 5 EMA and 13 SMA touch #5.
  • 200 SMA on the Day Charts retaken by Bulls #5.
  • 13 SMA on the Medium Term - was also resistance last week #3.

Indicators:
  • We use the 'Trend Deviation' Indicator #2 on the long term charts from now..
  • Volumes are High for the up move #6.
  • MACD and its MA converge #6.



Bulls find the support to flip the Nifty from Day channel bottom to channel top #5 in a couple of days..





Looking Forward into the next Week:


Patterns:

Support & Resistance:
  • Day Channel top is now resistance to beat for the Bulls #5.
  • The 61.8% Fibonacci retrace of the 'Jan'12 low to All time high' is support zone for Bears #5.

Moving Averages:
  • 5 EMA and 13 SMA touch for a Bullish Cross or Bearish Deflection #5.
  • Keeping above the 200 SMA on the Day Charts good for Bulls #5.
  • 13 SMA on the Medium Term - is resistance #3.
  • 50 SMA and 200 SMA, convergence towards a death cross to be watched #5.

Indicators:
  • 'Trend Deviation' Indicator #2 is in Bull zone for June..
  • Volumes remaining High for the up move, good for Bulls #6.
  • MACD and its MA poised for a Cross or Deflection from the '-50' zone #6.


Bears now eye the combined effect of the Shooting Star and Hanging Man  #1 - Bulls look forward to the potential Three Outside Up #3