Monday, January 25, 2016
US - S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Pin bar - Week 4 of January 2016.

Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous `post)
Patterns:.
- More rewards from the 'Three inside down' pattern on the Weekly charts for the Bears as new lows are made #W1.
- Bulls lock in above the '23.6% Fibonacci retrace from the ATH to the March 2011 low' with a green pin bar #W1.
Support & Resistance:
- Index was resisted by the 13 SMA on the Day Screen #D1. Support was above the '23.6% Fibonacci retrace from the ATH to the 2008 (blue) low' #M1.
Moving Averages:
- The 5 EMA on all Screens stay crossed bearishly below the 13 SMA on all screens.
Indicators:
- RSI 13, in the 30s #W2.
Wrap:
Bulls close the week above the '23.6% Fibonacci retrace from the ATH to the March 2011 low' with a green pin bar #W1.
Bears prove a point, making a lower high (earlier) and a lower low (now) #W1.Looking forward into this Week:
- 50 SMA on the Monthly chart is the next major support #M1. The 5 EMA on the Week Charts (1944) is likely resistance #D1,
- The 5 EMA on the Monthly Screen will cross bullishly above the 13 SMA, only if the index closes above 2070 this month #M1.
Indicators:
- STS stays in the oversold #D2.
Wrap:
Bulls after kick off upwards, from support at the '23.6% Fibonacci retrace from the ATH to the March 2011 low', seek more green with some help from the 'pin bar' #W1.
Bears look to enforce a lower low with the momentum from the 'Three inside down' pattern.
India - CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Morning Star ? - Week 4 of January 2016.
- Inverted Hammer of the previous week, is followed by a long legged doji, which also gaps down #W1.
- Bears again use the 'Three White Soldiers pattern to good effect #W1.
Support & Resistance:
- Index closed at S2 of the Month pivot. Resistance was at the daily 5 EMA #D1. Index came back from below the support at 7367, the '61.8% retrace of the 2010 low to the ATH' #W1.
Moving Averages:
- The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA, stay deflected bearishly on all three Charts..
Indicators:
- On the week charts the STS #W1, is deep in the over sold zone.
Wrap:
Earlier the Bears touched 7367, with an active 'Three White Soldiers' pattern in play #/W1.
Looking Forward into this Week:
- 'Three White Soilders' pattern (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) is active on the Medium Term Chart #W1.
- The Last candle on the week chart is a Long Legged Doji (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) whose body shows a clear gap down #W1.
- Possibility of a Morning Star Pattern (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) forming exists #W1.
Support & Resistance:
- Index has immediate resistance at 7494 the 76.4% retrace of the 2008 low to the ATH #M1 and then at the Weekly Channel bottom #W1.
- Support is S2 of the Month pivot and later at the Daily Channel bottom #D1.
Moving Averages:
- The Death Cross (50 and 200 SMA) is active D1.
Indicators:
- The MACD is below the zero line #D2.
Wrap :
Bulls pray for a pullback to Week Channel Bottom #W1.
Bears eye life around the day channel bottom #D1.Brent Crude Oil - Ichimoku Study - Pause and Bounce - Week 4 of January 2016.
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the Earlier Study: (click here for the previous post)
Bulls enforce a pause in the fall with a strong green candle #W2.
Gap between the Senkou Span A & B, steady #W3.
Gap between Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen, steady #W2.
Wrap:
Index still below the Tenkan Sen, Bulls make a strong pause and bounce.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Chikou Span is a long way from the price line #W2.
Senkou Span A & B crossing or deflecting helps the Bull or Bear Causes respectively #W3.
Some more green, to let the Tenkan Sen catch up, is the next event the Bulls long for #W2.
Wrap:
Bears look to keep the index below the Tenkan Sen, and make some lower lows #W2.
Folow up to this bounce with a bullish cross of the Tenkan Sen #W2, is the next Bull hope.
Tuesday, January 19, 2016
US - S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Channels and Fibonacci - Week 3 of January 2016.
Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous `post)
Patterns:.
- 'Three inside down' pattern on the Weekly charts, works for the Bears #W1.
- Index in and around Channel Bottoms on the Week and Day Screens #W1 and #D1.
Support & Resistance:
- Index was resisted by the 5 EMA on the Day Screen #D1. Support was at the '23.6% Fibonacci retrace from the ATH to the March 2011 low' #W1.
Moving Averages:
- The 5 EMA on the Month Screen stays deflected bearishly below the 13 SMA #M1.
Indicators:
- RSI 13, in the 30s #W2.
Wrap:
Bulls hold the fall near the '23.6% Fibonacci retrace from the ATH to the March 2011 low' #W1.
Bears keep the index below the 5 EMA on the Day Chart all week #D1.Looking forward into this Week:
- 50 SMA on the Monthly chart is the next major support #M1. The 5 EMA on the Week Charts (1963) is likely resistance #D1,
- The 5 EMA on the Monthly Screen will cross bullishly above the 13 SMA, only if the index closes above 2070 this month #M1.
Indicators:
- STS stays in the oversold #D2.
Wrap:
Bulls hope to kick off upwards, from the '23.6% Fibonacci retrace from the ATH to the March 2011 low' #W1.
Bears look to keep moving down and squeeze some more rewards from the 'Three inside down' pattern.
Monday, January 18, 2016
India - CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Channel Bottom action - Week 3 of January 2016.
- Bears start the week and stay, below the Weekly Channel bottom, making an inverted Hammer #W1.
- Bears use the 'Three White Soilders' pattern to good effect #W1.
Support & Resistance:
- Index closed below the 76.4% retrace of the 2008 low to the ATH #M1, on the last day of the week, support was S2 of the Month pivot. Resistance was at the daily 5 EMA #D1.
Moving Averages:
- The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA, stay deflected bearishly on the Week Chart #W1.
Indicators:
- On the week charts the STS #W1, is in the over sold zone.
Wrap:
Bears crash the index trough the Weekly Channel Bottom #W1, with an active 'Three White Soilders' pattern in play #/W1.
Looking Forward into this Week:
- 'Three White Soilders' pattern (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) is active on the Medium Term Chart #W1.
- The Last candle on the week chart is an Inverted Hammer (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) whose body shows a clear gap down #W1,
Support & Resistance:
- Index has immediate resistance at 7494 the 76.4% retrace of the 2008 low to the ATH #M1 and then at the Weekly Channel bottom #W1.
- Support is S2 of the Month pivot and later at the Daily Channel bottom #D1.
Moving Averages:
- The Death Cross (50 and 200 SMA) is active D1.
Indicators:
- The MACD is below the zero line #D2.
Wrap :
Bulls pray for a pullback to Week Channel Bottom #W1.
Bears hope to break below the day channel bottom #D1.Brent Crude Oil - Ichimoku Study - Pause? - Week 3 of January 2016.
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the Earlier Study: (click here for the previous post)
Bulls fold again with another long red candle, bears make a lower low #W2.
Gap between the Senkou Span A & B, increases #W3.
Gap between Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen, steady #W2.
Wrap:
Index dives again below the Tenkan Sen and makes aother lower low.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Chikou Span is a long way from the price line #W2.
Senkou Span A & B crossing or deflecting helps the Bull or Bear Causes respectively #W3.
A pause to let the Tenkan Sen catch up is the next event favoring the Bulls #W2.
Wrap:
Bears look to keep the index below the Tenkan Sen, and make some lower lows #W2.
An oversold bounce or a bullish cross of the Tenkan Sen #W2, is the next Bull hope.














