Tuesday, January 27, 2015
CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Bullish Engulfing? - Week 5 of January 2015.
Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)
Patterns:
- November and December 2014 candles on Month screen #M1, formed a 'Bearish Engulfing' which failed to make make it to a 'Three Outside Down' as of now #M1.
- Bulls pull index up to a new ATH this month, engulfing the December 2014 candle as of now #M1.
- Index closes above all the MAs that we track.
- Bulls approaches the R2 on the month pivot #M1.
Moving Averages:
- The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the EOW, cross Bullishly #D1.
Indicators:
- STS stays in the over bought #W2.
Wrap:
Bulls after keeping above our mark of 8283 early in the month, breakout to make new ATH - Bears are now defending the new ATH or R2 on the Month Pivot #M1.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Patterns:
- 'Bearish Engulfing' on the Monthly Charts becoming a 'Three Outside Down', is now as remote, as that of January closing below 8283 (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) #M1.
- 'Bullish Engulfing' of January Candle over December 2014 (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) is on, if this month's candle closes above 8606 #M1.
Support & Resistance:
- Index resistances that the Bulls would want to get above this week, are the current ATH (8866) and R2 on the Monthly Pivot #M1
- Support Levels that the Bears would love to get below, are 8606 and 8283.
Moving Averages:
Indicators:
- STS, moving below the overbought, would pause the 3+ quarter long, Bull domination of the Medium and Long Term Screens #W2.
Wrap :
Staying above 8606, Bulls look to carry on into the next month with strength #M1.Bears need to pick up the fight afresh, with a move below the 5 EMA on the EOD #D1.
BSE Sensex - Ichimoku Study - Tenkan Sen to Breakout - Week 5 of January 2015.
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the Earlier Study: (click here for the post)
Index after breaking out above the Tenkan Sen and moving above the previous high, strikes out a new ATH #W2.
Senkou Span A & B - gap steadies #W3.
The gap between Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen steadies #W2
Wrap: Index breaks out, from the range, around the Tenkan Sen and the Kijun Sen #W2
Looking Forward into this Week:
Senkou Span 'A & B' converging will be bad for the Bulls #W3.
A Bearish, Chikou Span cross with Price line, at current altitude, will need a few more months #W1.
Bears seek to get the Kijun Sen above the Tenkan Sen and take out the last Index low #W2.
Wrap: Bulls Seek new All Time Highs, whereas Bears look at moving the index below the 'Tenkan Sen - Kijun Sen' range #W2.
Monday, January 26, 2015
S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Long Term 3 Inside Down (just on) - Week 5 of January 2015.
- Bear hope up, after November and December Candles form Bearish Harami. Last three Monthly Candles now make a 'Three Inside Down' - for now - #M1.
- Possibility of a Stick Sandwich Pattern on the EOW Charts #W1.
Support & Resistance:
- Bears close the index below our marks of 2062 or 2059 last week - Bulls close the index above all the MAs that we track on the screens above.
Moving Averages:
- 5 EMA and 13 SMA, on the medium term screen, edges into a mild Bearish Cross, as Index fails to make 2062 #W1.
Indicators:
- RSI 13 in the 60s #W2.
Wrap:
Bears maintain hopes of a Long Term Three Inside Down by closing marginally below 2059 #D1.
Bulls make it above all the MAs that we track.
Looking forward into this Week:
Patterns:
- Bearish Harami is now active on the Long Term Screen and could trigger a 'Three Inside Down' #M1 (Study Links here, here or elsewhere).
- Stick Sandwich Pattern (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) could activate if, the current week, closes around the close, of the week before last week #W1.
Support & Resistance:
- 13 SMA on the EOW (2051) #W1 and the Monthly 5 EMA (2023), are supports the Bulls look to keep above, this week.
- 2065 and 2059 are resistance for the index, which Bears would want to stay below
- The 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the Medium Term Charts stay crossed bearishly as long as the index is below 2065 #W1.
Indicators:
- TSI, staying above the 76.4% Fibonacci retrace , keeps the Bull Hope up #M2.
Wrap:
Bulls seek to deny the Bears a Long Term 'Three Inside Down' by reaching & staying above 2059 #M1.
Bears look to get below the last low on the EOD, and crack the 200 SMA #D1.
Bears look to get below the last low on the EOD, and crack the 200 SMA #D1.
The Dow Jones - Ichimoku Study - Tenkan Sen Again - Week 5 of January 2015.
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the earlier Study: (click here for the post)
Index ranges in last week's space and closes the week just above the Tenkan Sen #W2.
Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen flat and gap steady #W2.
Senoku Span A & B gap flat #W3.
Wrap: Bulls close above the Tenkan Sen after a repeat dive towards the Kijun Sen #W2.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Bears aim for a journey back to the Kumo, with a close below the Tenkan Sen to start with #W2.
Bearish Cross of Tenkan Sen & Kijun Sen, at current range, next on Bear Agenda #W2.
Chikou Span Cross/Deflection of the Index can show direction going forward #W2.
Wrap: Bulls look to keep above the Tenkan Sen, the Bear's target life below the Tenkan Sen Sen #W2. Both look to break out of the current range.
Monday, January 19, 2015
S&P 500 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - Long Term 3 Inside Down (stays on) - Week 4 of January 2015.
- Bear hope up after November and December Candles form Bearish Harami. Last three Monthly Candles now make a 'Three Inside Down' - for now - #M1.
Support & Resistance:
- Bears keep the index below the 5 EMA on the EOM #M1 and MVWAP 34 on the EOD #D1, most of last week - Bulls hold above the 34 MVWAP on the Medium Term Screen #W1 and 200 SMA on the EOD #D1.
Moving Averages:
- 5 EMA and 13 SMA, on the medium term screen good for a Bullish Deflection or Bearish Cross #W1.
Indicators:
- RSI 13 in the 60s #W2.
Wrap:
Bears maintain hopes of a Long Term Three Inside Down by closing below 2059 #D1.
Bulls keep above the Short Term 200 SMA #D1.
Bulls keep above the Short Term 200 SMA #D1.
Looking forward into this Week:
Patterns:
- Broadening Top (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) seen on the Day Chart - follow up re-formed top - its bottom is near the Fibonacci 76.4% mark.
- Bearish Harami is now active on the Long Term Screen and could trigger a 'Three Inside Down' #M1 (Study Links here, here or elsewhere).
Support & Resistance:
- 13 SMA on the EOW (2048) #W1 and the Monthly 5 EMA (2023), are resistances the Bulls look to get above, this week.
- MVWAP 34 on the EOW #W1 and 200 SMA on the EOD #D1, are supports for the index, which Bears would want to break below
- The 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the Medium Term Charts stay crossed bearishly below as long as the index is below 2062 #W1.
Indicators:
- TSI, slipping below the 76.4% Fibonacci retrace by month end, gets Bull Hope down #M2.
Wrap:
Bulls seek to deny the Bears a Long Term 'Three Inside Down' by reaching & staying above 2059 #M1.
Bears look to get below last low on the EOD and crack the 200 SMA #D1.
Bears look to get below last low on the EOD and crack the 200 SMA #D1.
The Dow Jones - Ichimoku Study - Tenkan Sen Falls - Week 4 of January 2015.
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the earlier Study: (click here for the post)
Index retests last week's low and closes the week just below the Tenkan Sen #W2.
Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen flat and gap steady #W2.
Senoku Span A & B gap flat #W3.
Wrap: Bulls fail to close above the Tenkan Sen after a repeat deep dive to near the Kijun Sen #W2.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Bears aim for a journey back to the Kumo, with a close below the Kijun Sen next #W2.
Bearish Cross of Tenkan Sen & Kijun Sen, at current range, next on Bear Agenda #W2.
Chikou Span Cross/Deflection of the Index can show direction going forward #W2.
Wrap: Bulls look to get back above the Tenkan Sen, the Bear's next target the Kjun Sen #W2.
CNX Nifty 50 - Triple Screen 'Technical Analysis' - 3 Outside Down stays unDone - Week 4 of January 2015.
Learning from last Week: (click here for the previous post)
Patterns:
- November and December 2014 candles on Month screen #M1, formed a 'Bearish Engulfing' with a month close at 8283 #M1. Index closed previous week at 8285.
- Last week Bulls pull index up to 8514, dampening the Bear hopes for a Three Outside down by month end #M1.
- Index closes above all the MAs that we track.
- Bulls peek above the Day Channel's blue mid-line #D1.
Moving Averages:
- The critical 5 EMA and 13 SMA on the EOW, poised again for deflection or cross #D1.
Indicators:
- MACD and its MA break above the zero line #D2.
- STS stays in the over bought #W2.
Wrap:
Bulls after keeping above our mark of 8283 the previous week, breakout to control all three screens - Bears lose the advantage and are left defending the ATH or R1 on the Month Pivot #M1.
Looking Forward into this Week:
Patterns:
- 'Bearish Engulfing' on the Monthly Charts becomes a 'Three Outside Down', if January Closes below 8283 (Study Links here, here or elsewhere) #M1.
Support & Resistance:
- Index resistances that the Bulls would want to get above this week, are the previous ATH (8627) and R1 on the Monthly Pivot #M1
- Support Levels that the Bears would love to get below, are 8368 and the Wall for January (8174)
Moving Averages:
Indicators:
- STS, moving below the overbought, would pause the 3+ quarter long Bull domination of the Medium and Long Term Screens #W2.
Wrap :
Staying well above 8283, Bulls intend to deny the Bears the advantage, or a Long Term 'Three Outside Down' #M1.Bears see some action begin below 8368, with a shot at getting below the October'14, low on the EOD #D1.
BSE Sensex - Ichimoku Study - Tenkan Sen Holds - Week 4 of January 2015.
Introduction / Primer to Ichimoku can be read at this link (click).
Learning from the Earlier Study: (click here for the post)
Index after breaking out above the Tenkan Sen, moves above the previous high #W2.
Senkou Span A & B - gap increases #W3.
The gap between Tenkan Sen and Kijun Sen redices #W2
Wrap: Index edges up, out of the current range around the Tenkan Sen and the Kijun Sen #W2
Looking Forward into this Week:
Senkou Span 'A & B' converging will be bad for the Bulls #W3.
A Bearish, Chikou Span cross with Price line, at current altitude, will need a few more weeks #W1.
Bears seek to get the Kijun Sen above the Tenkan Sen and take out the last Index low #W2.
Wrap: Bulls Seek life above the last All Time High, whereas Bears look at moving the index below the current 'Tenkan Sen - Kijun Sen' range #W2.

















